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Predicting Major Depressive Disorder Using Neural Networks from Spectral Measures of EEG Data.
Igor Kozulin1,2, Ekaterina Merkulova3, Vasiliy Savostyanov3
1Faculty of Information Technologies and Mechanical-Mathematical Faculty, Novosibirsk State University, 630090 Novosibirsk, Russia.
Bioengineering (Basel, Switzerland)
|November 27, 2025
Summary
This study developed a neural network for diagnosing major depressive disorder (MDD) using electroencephalogram (EEG) and psychological data. LSTM models achieved superior performance in predicting depression severity and aiding diagnosis.
Area of Science:
- Computational Neuroscience
- Psychiatry
- Medical Informatics
Background:
- Electroencephalogram (EEG) processing with neural networks is crucial in modern medicine.
- Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) diagnosis often relies on subjective assessments.
- Objective biomarkers for MDD are needed to improve clinical decision-making.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate a neural network-based method for MDD diagnosis.
- To combine spectral characteristics of resting-state EEG with psychological questionnaire data.
- To assess the performance of different algorithms for classification and regression tasks in MDD.
Main Methods:
- Collected resting-state EEG and psychological data from 71 participants (42 healthy, 29 with MDD).
- Evaluated traditional machine learning, deep learning (LSTM), ablation analysis, and feature importance analysis.
- Performed binary classification (healthy vs. MDD) and regression for predicting Beck Depression Inventory (BDI) scores.
Main Results:
- An LSTM network on delta-rhythm EEG data achieved R² = 0.742 for predicting depression severity, an 86% improvement over Ridge regression.
- Ablation studies identified delta and alpha EEG rhythms as key neurophysiological biomarkers.
- Feature importance analysis highlighted ruminative thinking, age, and hostility as dominant psychometric predictors.
Conclusions:
- LSTM applied to spectral EEG data offers superior quantitative assessment of depression severity.
- Logistic Regression on psychometric or EEG data provides a reliable tool for MDD screening and diagnosis.
- This objective methodology enhances clinical decision-making and personalized treatment monitoring for MDD.

