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Development of Hourly Resolution Air Temperature Across Titicaca Lake on Auxiliary ERA5 Variables and Machine
Jimmy W Sirpa-Poma1,2, Juan Calle2, Elvis Uscamayta-Ferrano3
1Instituto de Hidráulica e Hidrología, Universidad Mayor de San Andrés, La Paz, Bolivia.
This study introduces a new method using quality control and machine learning to improve meteorological data. The approach successfully filled gaps and corrected errors in air temperature records from Lake Titicaca.
Area of Science:
- Meteorology
- Data Science
- Environmental Science
Background:
- Meteorological data often suffers from gaps, inconsistencies, and outliers.
- High-resolution, reliable data is crucial for environmental monitoring and climate studies.
- Automatic weather stations provide valuable but sometimes imperfect datasets.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate an integrated procedure for enhancing meteorological data quality.
- To combine advanced quality control (QC) and machine learning (ML) for reliable data.
- To address data gaps and inconsistencies in air temperature records from the Lake Titicaca region.
Main Methods:
- Applied advanced QC statistics (Interquartile Range, Biweight, Local Outlier Factor) to clean raw data.
- Implemented spatial and temporal gap-filling techniques using nearby station data and ERA5-Land reanalysis.
- Utilized ML models including Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Stacking (STACK), and AdaBoost (ADA).
Main Results:
- The Random Forest (RF) model demonstrated superior performance, achieving R² values up to 0.9 and RMSE below 1.5 °C.
- Spatial gap-filling was effective for highly correlated station data, while temporal methods suited areas with low correlation.
- The integrated procedure significantly enhanced the reliability and completeness of meteorological data.
Conclusions:
- The combined QC and ML approach effectively produces reliable, continuous, high-resolution meteorological data.
- The method is adaptable to different geographical conditions and can be extended to other meteorological variables.
- This procedure offers a robust solution for improving environmental data quality in data-scarce regions.
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