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1 km HILDA + based land cover/use map time series of China under 1.5 °C climate of this century
Yifan Gao1, Xian Feng1, Changqing Song1
1State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Disaster Risk Reduction, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China.
Abstract:
Limiting the global temperature rise in this century to 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels has become a critical challenge. One key pathway involves actions in the land sector. Forecasts of land cover/use maps can provide valuable insights for guiding such actions, but the reliability of maps strongly depends on the accuracy of the baseline land cover/use map. In this study, we selected an accurate land cover/use map-HIstoric Land Dynamics Assessment+ (HILDA+), harmonized with multiple historical land cover/use maps-as the baseline land cover/use map. Additionally, we selected a future scenario that aims to achieve the 1.5 °C target and takes into account nationally determined contributions (NDCs). This scenario assumes that all parties would adhere to their submitted NDCs. We forecasted land cover/use maps at a spatial resolution of 1 km from 2020 to 2100 at a 10-year interval in China by integrating the Global Change Analysis Model, the Land-N2N model, and HILDA + land cover/use maps. These maps provide scientific guidance to support land management in addressing climate crises.
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