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Analysis of AV merging behavior in mixed traffic using large-scale AV driving datasets
1Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan State University, Lansing, MI 48910, United States.
Accident; Analysis and Prevention
|December 19, 2025
Summary
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) and human-driven vehicles (HDVs) show similar merging gap times and crash risks. AVs reduce crash severity, indicating potential for safer mixed traffic merging with optimized algorithms.
Area of Science:
- Traffic Engineering
- Autonomous Systems
- Behavioral Analysis
Background:
- Autonomous vehicles (AVs) offer potential advantages in complex maneuvers like merging compared to human-driven vehicles (HDVs).
- Limited research exists on AV-HDV interactions during real-world merging events, necessitating analysis of actual driving data.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze AV merging behavior in mixed traffic using real-world datasets.
- To investigate the impact of traffic variables on merging gap time (GT) and crash risk.
- To compare AV and HDV merging performance and safety.
Main Methods:
- Extraction and analysis of merging events from Argoverse-2 and Waymo AV testing datasets.
- Development of a Weibull random parameter hazard-based duration model to assess GT determinants.
- Application of extreme value theory (EVT) for merging crash risk estimation.
Main Results:
- AVs and HDVs exhibited similar merging gap time distributions.
- Increased merging gap time reduced speed variations in the target lane for both AVs and HDVs.
- Crash risk was comparable between AV-involved and HDV-only merging events, but AVs reduced crash severity.
Conclusions:
- AVs demonstrate potential for safer merging in mixed traffic due to programmed behaviors like smoother acceleration.
- Optimizing AV algorithms for dynamic, human-centric conditions is crucial for enhancing safety and efficiency in complex scenarios.
- Further AV technology improvements are needed for seamless integration into mixed traffic environments.
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