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An Integrated Predictive Impact-Enhanced Process Mining Framework for Strategic Oncology Workflow Optimization: Case

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  • 1Department of Computer Engineering and IT, Shiraz University of Technology, Shiraz 13876-71557, Iran.

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Process Mining (PM) can now predict the impact of workflow changes in healthcare. Our new framework quantifies how fixing deviations reduces cycle time and workload, enabling data-driven strategic planning.

Keywords:
PM2bioengineeringchemotherapy workflowconformance checkingoncologypredictive impact model (PIM)predictive modelingprocess miningworkflow optimization

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Area of Science:

  • Healthcare Operations Research
  • Process Mining Applications
  • Clinical Workflow Optimization

Background:

  • Process Mining (PM) identifies healthcare workflow inefficiencies but lacks quantitative impact assessment.
  • Current methods are retrospective or use disconnected simulations, hindering evidence-based resource allocation.
  • A methodological gap exists in predicting the system-wide operational impact of correcting workflow deviations.

Purpose of the Study:

  • Introduce the PM²-Predictive Impact Model (PIM) framework to bridge the gap in quantifying the impact of workflow deviation correction.
  • Unify conformance checking, predictive monitoring, and scenario analysis into a closed-loop, process-native methodology.
  • Enable data-driven strategic planning for healthcare operations by quantifying intervention impacts.

Main Methods:

  • Developed the PM²-Predictive Impact Model (PIM) framework, integrating process mining techniques.
  • Modeled a normative seven-step pathway using event logs from an Iranian Radiotherapy and Oncology Center (Fitness=0.97, Precision=1.00).
  • Identified high-impact deviations (e.g., skipped approvals, resequencing) and simulated their removal using PIM.

Main Results:

  • The PIM framework established a causal link between deviation types and system performance.
  • Simulations showed statistically significant reductions in Cycle Time (8.00%) and Workload (6.00%) after deviation removal.
  • Results were robust to parameter uncertainty (p < 0.001), confirming reliability.

Conclusions:

  • The PM²-PIM framework transforms retrospective process mining diagnosis into proactive, quantitative strategic planning.
  • Provides a reproducible, low-cost method for oncology services to prioritize interventions.
  • Enables evidence-rich decision-making for sustained performance gains in healthcare operations.