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Reliable leukemia detection via transfer-enhanced Bayesian CNNs
Xhesina Hita1, Farrukh Javed2, Stefano Lodi1
1Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
Computers in Biology and Medicine
|January 4, 2026
Summary
This study introduces a Bayesian deep learning framework for accurate Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia (ALL) detection using blood smear images. The VGG16 model achieved 98.65% accuracy, with uncertainty quantification identifying high-risk cases for review.
Area of Science:
- Medical Imaging
- Computational Biology
- Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
Background:
- Early detection of Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia (ALL) is crucial for effective treatment and patient survival.
- Deep learning for hematological image analysis faces challenges like limited data, bias, and the need for trustworthy clinical predictions.
- Existing models often lack robust uncertainty quantification, hindering clinical adoption.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate a Bayesian deep learning framework for robust classification of leukemic and healthy lymphocytes from peripheral blood smear images.
- To integrate transfer learning, data augmentation, and uncertainty quantification for improved diagnostic accuracy and reliability.
- To assess the clinical trustworthiness of AI predictions by analyzing uncertainty estimates.
Main Methods:
- Utilized three pre-trained Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) architectures (InceptionV3, VGG16, ResNet50) fine-tuned on the ALL-IDB2 dataset.
- Implemented Monte Carlo dropout for Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification.
- Employed 10-fold cross-validation with data augmentation, evaluating performance using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, Youden's index, and Brier score.
Main Results:
- The VGG16 model, enhanced with data augmentation, achieved the highest accuracy (98.65%±0.09), Youden's index (0.97±0.001), and lowest Brier score (0.035±0.010).
- Bayesian uncertainty analysis revealed that misclassifications correlated with high predictive entropy and mutual information.
- Saliency maps indicated that high-uncertainty predictions were linked to non-localized attention patterns, suggesting reliance on spurious features.
Conclusions:
- The proposed Bayesian deep learning framework offers strong diagnostic performance for ALL detection from blood smear images.
- Uncertainty quantification is vital for identifying ambiguous cases requiring expert pathological review, enhancing clinical trust.
- This AI-assisted approach provides a transparent and reliable tool for leukemia screening.
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