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Trends in age at male circumcision and its determinants in Rwanda
Theogene Kubahoniyesu1,2, Riziki Kagabo3, Emmanuel Ngendahimana3
1African Centre of Excellence in Data Science, University of Rwanda, Kigali, Rwanda. theogenek9@gmail.com.
Voluntary medical male circumcision (VMMC) uptake in Rwanda has significantly increased, particularly among younger men. Education and media exposure accelerate VMMC, while older age and rural residence are associated with delayed procedures, impacting HIV prevention efforts.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- HIV Prevention
Background:
- Voluntary medical male circumcision (VMMC) is a proven HIV prevention method.
- Early circumcision (infancy or before sexual debut) maximizes protective benefits.
- Rwanda has expanded VMMC services, but understanding timing determinants is crucial for optimizing uptake.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze trends in the timing of voluntary medical male circumcision (VMMC) in Rwanda.
- To identify factors influencing the age at which men undergo circumcision.
- To inform strategies for enhancing VMMC uptake and HIV prevention.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cross-sectional study using Rwanda Demographic and Health Surveys (2010, 2015, 2020).
- Analysis of 15,965 men aged 15-59.
- Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, and Cox regression models accounting for survey design.
Main Results:
- Male circumcision prevalence rose from 13.3% (2010) to 52.4% (2020).
- Higher education and frequent TV viewing were associated with earlier circumcision.
- Older age groups and rural residence showed delayed circumcision uptake.
Conclusions:
- Significant increase in VMMC uptake in Rwanda, especially among younger men.
- Health education, media campaigns, and targeted interventions for rural/older populations can improve early uptake.
- Optimizing VMMC timing is key to strengthening national HIV prevention programs.
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