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Pulmonary Embolism Risk in Geriatric Panniculectomy: An NSQIP Analysis.

Bryle Barrameda1, Maria Clarke1, Jeffrey Wang1

  • 1From the University of California Davis School of Medicine.

Annals of Plastic Surgery
|January 20, 2026
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Summary

Elderly patients undergoing panniculectomy face a significantly higher risk of pulmonary embolism (PE). Careful preoperative assessment is crucial for managing surgical risks in this population.

Keywords:
NSQIPfrailtygeriatricspanniculectomypulmonary embolismvenous thromboembolism

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Area of Science:

  • Geriatric Plastic Surgery
  • Venous Thromboembolism (VTE) Risk Assessment
  • Geriatric panniculectomy PE risk and surgical outcomes.

Background:

Prior research has shown that the number of elderly individuals seeking body contouring procedures following massive weight loss has increased substantially in recent years. It was already known that abdominal procedures like abdominoplasty are associated with a heightened risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) compared to other plastic surgeries. Clinical observations have frequently linked patient frailty and reduced physiological reserve to poorer postoperative outcomes across various surgical disciplines. Despite these known risks, previous investigations into panniculectomy complications often grouped disparate adverse events together rather than focusing on specific vascular pathologies. No existing study had isolated the incidence and predictors of pulmonary embolism (PE) specifically within the geriatric population undergoing this reconstructive surgery. This lack of targeted data made it difficult for clinicians to provide accurate risk counseling to older patients considering abdominal tissue excision. This gap motivated a comprehensive analysis of a national database to define the unique risk profile of the geriatric panniculectomy patient.

Purpose Of The Study:

This investigation quantifies the specific risk of pulmonary embolism (PE) among geriatric individuals undergoing panniculectomy to improve preoperative counseling. Researchers sought to compare the demographic profiles and comorbid conditions of elderly patients against their younger counterparts to identify significant disparities. The study identifies independent predictors of vascular complications and overall morbidity using a large-scale clinical registry. Investigators evaluated how perioperative factors, such as inpatient versus outpatient status, influence the safety of the procedure in older adults. The analysis specifically isolates the impact of advanced age on the likelihood of developing life-threatening blood clots in the lungs. By examining a decade of surgical data, the team aimed to refine risk stratification models for this increasingly common patient demographic. The work provides a statistical foundation for developing targeted perioperative management strategies to enhance safety in geriatric reconstructive surgery.

Main Methods:

The research team queried the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) database for cases recorded between 2005 and 2017. Analysts identified relevant procedures using the Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) code 15830, which specifically denotes the excision of excessive infraumbilical abdominal fat and skin. Patients reaching the age of 65 or older were categorized into the geriatric cohort, while those under 65 served as the comparative nongeriatric group. The statistical framework utilized logistic regression to determine the independent predictors of pulmonary embolism (PE) and other postoperative complications. Multivariable analysis adjusted for several confounding variables, including hypertension, insulin-dependent diabetes, and preoperative functional status. A secondary investigation focused exclusively on the geriatric subgroup to isolate factors like obesity and dyspnea that contribute to surgical morbidity. This methodological approach ensured a robust evaluation of risk across a diverse national patient population involving over 11,000 surgical cases.

Main Results:

Geriatric age independently conferred a three-fold increase in the risk of pulmonary embolism (PE) according to the multivariable analysis. The study found that 0.8% of the 1,005 geriatric patients experienced a PE compared to only 0.3% in the 10,703 nongeriatric individuals. Statistical evaluation revealed an adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of 3.1 for age-related vascular risk with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.34 to 7.1. Elderly individuals exhibited significantly higher rates of hypertension, insulin-dependent diabetes, dyspnea at rest, and poor functional status, all with P-values below 0.001. Within the geriatric cohort, inpatient surgery status emerged as a strong predictor of complications with an aOR of 2.7. Obesity and dyspnea at rest also significantly increased the likelihood of adverse outcomes in the older population, both yielding an aOR of 1.6. These findings demonstrate that while age is a significant factor, physiological reserve and specific comorbidities drive much of the observed morbidity in elderly patients.

Conclusions:

The findings confirm that geriatric patients undergoing panniculectomy face a significantly elevated risk of pulmonary embolism (PE) compared to younger cohorts. This research suggests that surgical morbidity in the elderly is primarily influenced by pre-existing comorbidities and diminished physiological reserve rather than age alone. Surgeons should prioritize meticulous preoperative risk stratification to identify high-risk candidates for abdominal contouring based on factors like obesity and functional status. The data support the implementation of targeted perioperative thromboprophylaxis strategies to mitigate vascular complications in older adults. Future prospective evaluations are necessary to determine the most effective protocols for preventing venous thromboembolism in this specific surgical demographic. These results align with previous observations in abdominoplasty regarding the timing and frequency of delayed vascular events in high-risk patients. Enhanced clinical vigilance and tailored perioperative care are required to improve safety outcomes for the growing population of elderly weight loss patients.

According to the study's authors, geriatric age independently confers a 3-fold increase in pulmonary embolism (PE) risk. This elevated risk, represented by an adjusted odds ratio of 3.1, suggests that older patients are significantly more susceptible to vascular complications following abdominal tissue excision.

Geriatric patients showed significantly higher rates of hypertension, insulin-dependent diabetes, and dyspnea at rest, all with P < 0.001. Additionally, poor functional status was more common in the elderly group, contributing to a more complex perioperative risk profile than observed in nongeriatric individuals.

The researchers utilized the ACS NSQIP database to access a large, multi-institutional sample of 11,708 panniculectomy cases. This allowed for a robust multivariable analysis of rare events like pulmonary embolism, which occurred in 0.8% of the geriatric patients identified by CPT code 15830.

The study's findings indicate that surgical morbidity is driven by physiological reserve rather than age alone. Specifically, obesity (aOR 1.6), poor functional status (aOR 2.0), and inpatient surgery (aOR 2.7) were identified as significant constraints on the safety of the procedure within the geriatric population.

The study's authors propose that these findings support the need for prospective evaluation of perioperative thromboprophylaxis strategies. They conclude that careful preoperative risk stratification is essential for elderly patients to mitigate the significantly higher risk of pulmonary embolism identified in the analysis.