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Linking Community-Climate Disequilibrium to Ecosystem Function.

Michael Stemkovski1, Michael H Cortez2, Joey R Bernhardt3

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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Climate change causes mismatches between species and their environment. This study shows how these community-climate disequilibria can harm ecosystem functions, even impacting future ecological forecasts.

Keywords:
climate changecommunity climate nichecommunity turnoverecological acclimationlagsnonstationaryspecies compositiontimescaletransient dynamics

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Area of Science:

  • Ecology
  • Climate Change Biology
  • Ecosystem Science

Background:

  • Species composition turnover often lags behind climate change, creating community-climate mismatches.
  • The impact of these disequilibria on ecosystem functions is understudied, with current methods assuming prior equilibrium.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a theoretical model linking community-climate disequilibrium with ecosystem functioning.
  • To investigate how disequilibrium affects ecosystem function under climate change.
  • To explore methods for inferring disequilibrium without direct species distribution data.

Main Methods:

  • Development of a simple theoretical model connecting community-climate disequilibrium and ecosystem function.
  • Analysis of how disequilibrium impacts near-term and long-term ecosystem functioning.
  • Model fitting to simulated metacommunity time-series data of climate and ecosystem function.

    • Main Results:

    • Community-climate disequilibrium can impair ecosystem functioning in the short term, even if climate change is predicted to benefit it long-term.
    • Responses are most dynamic in slow-turnover communities with significant pre-existing disequilibrium.
    • The model demonstrates inferring community-climate disequilibrium from climate and function time-series data.

    Conclusions:

    • Accurate estimation of community-climate disequilibria is crucial for improving ecological forecasts.
    • Dynamic disequilibrium concepts offer a new framework for ecological research.
    • Future research should apply these concepts across diverse ecosystems to test novel hypotheses.