Related Experiment Video
Updated: Jan 25, 2026

RNA Secondary Structure Prediction Using High-throughput SHAPE
Published on: May 31, 2013
Reduced prediction updating shapes serial dependence in autistic traits
Antonella Pomè1, Michael Wiesing2, Eckart Zimmermann3
1Institute for Experimental Psychology, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Universitätsstr. 1, Düsseldorf, 40225, Germany. pome@hhu.de.
Individuals with higher autistic traits show rigid prediction updating in dynamic tasks, relying more on past experiences even when feedback is distorted. This contrasts with neurotypical individuals and highlights a specific impairment in flexible learning.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive Neuroscience
- Perception
- Autism Research
Background:
- Serial dependence, the impact of prior experience on current perception, is typically studied in static settings.
- This study explores serial dependence as feedback-based internal model updating, examining its variation with autistic traits.
- An immersive virtual reality penalty-kick task was used to investigate prediction errors and updating mechanisms.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if serial dependence reflects passive carryover or active feedback-based updating of internal models.
- To determine how autistic traits influence the process of updating internal models based on prediction errors.
- To differentiate between general perceptual biases and specific impairments in prediction updating related to autistic traits.
Main Methods:
- Participants performed a virtual reality penalty-kick task where the ball disappeared mid-flight.
- Trial-by-trial prediction errors were introduced by laterally displacing the ball upon reappearance.
- Autistic traits and football expertise were assessed to correlate with prediction updating strategies.
Main Results:
- Individuals with higher autistic traits exhibited larger prediction deviations and more rigid reliance on priors, indicating less flexible updating.
- Unlike neurotypical individuals, those with higher autistic traits did not reduce reliance on priors during maximal distortions.
- Classical stimulus and response history biases were unaffected by autistic traits, suggesting a specific impairment in prediction updating.
Conclusions:
- Serial dependence in dynamic tasks involves flexible or rigid deployment of predictions based on feedback.
- Elevated autistic traits are associated with a specific rigidity in prediction weighting, not a general perceptual bias.
- Domain experts demonstrate contrasting stabilization strategies, utilizing robust mappings resistant to perturbations.
Related Concept Videos
Polygenic Traits
Trait and State Self-Esteem
Multiple Allele Traits
Traits and States
Predicting Molecular Geometry
VSEPR Theory and the Basic Shapes

