The value of ST-segment deviation in lead aVR for predicting the infarct-related artery in acute inferior STEMI: A
Yang-Yu Li1, Fang Zeng1, Ju Deng1
1Department of Cardiology, Guangzhou Red Cross Hospital, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.
Insights
In inferior ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), aVR ST-segment depression (aVR-STD) effectively predicts the left circumflex artery (LCX) as the infarct-related artery (IRA). However, aVR ST-segment elevation (aVR-STE) has limited predictive value for the right coronary artery (RCA).
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Diagnostic Imaging
- Medical Electrocardiology
Background:
- Identifying the infarct-related artery (IRA) is crucial in acute inferior ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).
- The left circumflex artery (LCX) and right coronary artery (RCA) are the most common IRAs in inferior STEMI.
- Electrocardiographic lead aVR ST-segment deviation shows potential for IRA prediction, but evidence is limited.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of lead aVR ST-segment deviation for predicting the IRA in inferior STEMI.
- To differentiate between LCX and RCA as the IRA using aVR ST-segment changes.
Main Methods:
- A meta-analysis was conducted using studies from Web of Science, PubMed, and Scopus up to March 2025.
- Pooled sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated.
- A bivariate effects model was employed for pooled analysis.
Main Results:
- Twenty-four studies with 6416 participants were included.
- aVR ST-segment depression (aVR-STD) showed good accuracy for predicting LCX IRA (AUC = 0.80).
- aVR ST-segment elevation (aVR-STE) had limited predictive value for both LCX and RCA (AUC = 0.55 and 0.75, respectively).
- aVR-STD also had poor predictive value for RCA (AUC = 0.23).
Conclusions:
- aVR ST-segment depression (aVR-STD) is valuable for predicting LCX as the IRA in inferior STEMI.
- The accuracy of aVR-STD may be influenced by the ST-segment reference point and smoking history.
- aVR ST-segment elevation (aVR-STE) has limited utility in predicting the RCA as the IRA.
Background:
The infarct-related artery (IRA) in acute inferior wall ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (inferior STEMI) is predominantly the left circumflex artery (LCX) or the right coronary artery (RCA). Electrocardiographic ST-segment deviation in lead aVR has shown potential value in predicting the IRA, but systematic evidence is lacking.
Methods:
A comprehensive literature search was undertaken across Web of Science, PubMed, and Scopus to identify relevant studies published until March 2025. Pooled sensitivity and specificity were calculated using a bivariate effects model. Overall accuracy was quantified by the diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) and area under the curve (AUC).
Results:
Twenty-four studies (6416 participants) were included. For LCX prediction, aVR ST-segment depression (aVR-STD) demonstrated pooled sensitivity of 0.62 (95% CI: 0.51-0.72), specificity of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.75-0.86), and good overall accuracy [DOR = 7.01 (95% CI: 3.72-13.22), AUC = 0.80 (95% CI: 0.76-0.83)]. Conversely, aVR ST-segment elevation (aVR-STE) was a poor predictor for LCX [sensitivity = 0.02 (95% CI: 0.01-0.08), AUC = 0.55 (95% CI: 0.51-0.59)]. For RCA prediction, aVR-STE demonstrated pooled sensitivity of 0.06 (95% CI: 0.03-0.13), specificity of 0.97 (95% CI: 0.93-0.98), and moderate overall accuracy [DOR = 1.99 (95% CI: 1.15-3.43), AUC = 0.75 (95% CI: 0.71-0.79)]. aVR-STD was a poor predictor for RCA [sensitivity = 0.19 (95% CI: 0.13-0.27), AUC = 0.23 (95% CI: 0.19-0.27)]. Heterogeneity analysis identified the ST-segment reference point and smoking history as potential contributors.
Conclusion:
In inferior STEMI, aVR-STD demonstrates significant value in predicting LCX as the IRA, while its accuracy appears moderated by the ST-segment measurement reference point and smoking history. Conversely, aVR-STE shows limited predictive value for RCA.
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