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Testing and improving the robustness of amortized bayesian inference for cognitive models.
Yufei Wu1, Stefan T Radev2, Francis Tuerlinckx1
1Faculty of Psychological and Educational Science, University of Leuven.
Robust parameter estimation in cognitive models is improved using amortized Bayesian inference. Data augmentation with a Cauchy distribution enhances estimator robustness against contaminants, making it practical for outlier challenges.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive Science
- Computational Neuroscience
- Statistical Modeling
Background:
- Parameter estimation in cognitive models is susceptible to contaminant observations.
- Robustness is crucial for reliable model parameter estimation, especially with noisy data.
Purpose of the Study:
- To improve the robustness of parameter estimation in cognitive models using amortized Bayesian inference.
- To develop and evaluate a data augmentation method for training robust estimators.
Main Methods:
- Systematic analyses were conducted on a toy normal distribution example and the drift diffusion model.
- A data augmentation approach incorporating a contamination distribution (Cauchy) during training was proposed.
- Robust estimators were evaluated for accuracy and efficiency loss compared to a standard estimator.
Main Results:
- Introducing Cauchy contaminants during training significantly enhanced the robustness of the neural density estimator.
- Robust estimators demonstrated bounded sensitivity functions and a substantially higher breakdown point.
- The proposed method showed practical implementation with minimal accuracy and efficiency loss.
Conclusions:
- Amortized Bayesian inference combined with data augmentation offers a practical solution for robust parameter estimation.
- The method is broadly applicable in fields facing challenges with outlier detection and removal.
- This approach enhances the reliability of cognitive model parameter estimation in the presence of contaminants.
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