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Lévy Versus Wiener: Assessing the Effects of Model Misspecification on Diffusion Model Parameters
Tuba Hato1, Lukas Schumacher2, Stefan T Radev3
1Institute of Psychology, Heidelberg University, Hauptstrasse 47-51, 69117 Heidelberg, Germany.
Analyzing data with the diffusion decision model (DDM) may cause biases if the true process follows the Lévy-flight model (LFM). Simulations show the DDM misestimates parameters when applied to LFM data, though experimental results were comparable.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive Psychology
- Computational Neuroscience
- Decision Science
Background:
- The Lévy-flight model (LFM) enhances the diffusion decision model (DDM) by incorporating heavy-tailed noise in evidence accumulation.
- Previous research suggests the LFM may more accurately represent binary decision-making processes than the standard DDM.
- Analyzing data generated by the LFM using the classical DDM could lead to misinterpretations of underlying cognitive mechanisms.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate estimation biases when analyzing Lévy-flight model (LFM) data with the diffusion decision model (DDM).
- To compare the performance of neural network-based inference and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for parameter estimation.
- To evaluate model performance on experimental data with manipulated speed and accuracy demands.
Main Methods:
- Extensive simulations were conducted using both basic and full versions of the DDM and LFM.
- Cross-fitting via simulation-based inference with neural networks (BayesFlow framework) was employed.
- A Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach served as a benchmark for neural network estimates.
Main Results:
- Neural networks and MCMC showed comparable estimation performance for the basic DDM.
- The basic DDM systematically overestimated boundary separation and underestimated non-decision time for LFM-generated data.
- The full DDM exhibited overestimation of boundary separation and inter-trial variabilities in starting point and non-decision time.
Conclusions:
- DDM analyses can introduce significant biases when the underlying data-generating process is better described by the LFM.
- Despite simulation biases, both DDM and LFM provided convergent interpretations when applied to experimental data.
- The stability parameter () in the LFM showed condition-specific differences in the experimental task.
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