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Published on: November 21, 2013
Structural and Functional Neuroimaging Biomarkers as Predictors of Psychosis Conversion in Ultra-High Risk
Giovanni Martinotti1, Tommaso Piro1, Nicola Ciraselli1
1Department of Neuroscience, Imaging, and Clinical Science, "G. d'Annunzio" 66100, University of Chieti-Pescara, 66100 Chieti, Italy.
Neuroimaging reveals key brain differences in individuals at ultra-high risk (UHR) for psychosis. These markers, including structural and functional changes, can predict conversion, aiding precision prevention strategies.
Area of Science:
- Neuroimaging
- Psychiatry
- Neuroscience
Background:
- 20-30% of ultra-high risk (UHR) individuals transition to psychosis within 2-3 years.
- Identifying neurobiological markers for psychosis conversion is crucial for precision prevention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically identify and evaluate baseline neuroimaging biomarkers in UHR individuals that predict subsequent psychosis conversion.
- Focus on structural and functional neuroimaging markers.
Main Methods:
- Systematic review following PRISMA 2020 guidelines, searching five databases (Jan 2000-Feb 2025).
- Included 25 studies with 2436 UHR individuals (627 converters).
- Assessed structural MRI, fMRI, DTI, and MRS for prediction of psychosis conversion.
Main Results:
- Reduced gray matter volume in medial temporal and prefrontal regions predicted conversion.
- Progressive gray matter loss in the superior temporal gyrus and reduced prefrontal-temporal connectivity were observed in converters.
- White matter integrity (uncinate fasciculus, superior longitudinal fasciculus), elevated striatal glutamate, and thalamocortical dysconnectivity also predicted transition.
- Multimodal imaging models achieved 78-85% classification accuracy.
Conclusions:
- Neuroimaging biomarkers, including structural alterations, functional dysconnectivity, and white matter abnormalities, effectively predict UHR conversion.
- Multimodal approaches combining structural, functional, and neurochemical measures show significant promise for individualized risk prediction and early intervention in psychosis prevention.
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