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Machine Learning-Based Pathomics Signature in Predicting MSH2 Expression and Prognosis in Gastric Cancer
Zheng-Rong Zhang1,2, Yu Wang2, Wen-Wu Yan2
1Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Introduction:
Gastric cancer (GC) is one of the most prevalent and lethal gastrointestinal malignancies. MutS homolog 2 (MSH2), a DNA mismatch repair protein, has emerged as a promising prognostic biomarker. However, traditional histopathological evaluation is limited by restricted fields compared with whole-slide imaging. This study aimed to investigate whether machine learning-derived digital pathomics features could predict MSH2 expression and clinical outcomes in GC.
Methods:
Hematoxylin and eosin-stained whole-slide images from 234 patients were analyzed to extract quantitative pathological features. A pathomics score (PS) was developed to estimate MSH2 expression. The association between PS and overall survival (OS) was assessed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression. Survival differences between high-PS and low-PS groups were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Functional enrichment and immune infiltration analyses were performed to explore potential biological mechanisms.
Results:
Digital image analysis identified pathomics features associated with MSH2 expression. The PS served as a surrogate marker for MSH2 and effectively stratified patients into prognostic subgroups with significant different OS. High PS was associated with features suggestive of a stronger antitumor immune response, whereas low PS was linked to an immunosuppressive microenvironment.
Discussion:
The machine learning-derived pathomics signature shows potential in predicting MSH2 expression. It can serve as a complementary research tool and provide clinically meaningful prognostic information for GC.
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Prediction Intervals
However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.