Exploring heterogeneity in treatment effects: The impact and interaction of asset-based wealth and mass azithromycin...

To examine how child mortality among children aged 1-59 months varies by asset-based wealth status in rural Burkina Faso, and to assess the interaction between mass azithromycin (AZ) distribution and wealth status on child mortality at both the household and community levels.

We used data from a cluster-randomized trial and population census data on household characteristics and assets. A wealth index score for each household, used to classify the population by wealth, was generated using principal component analysis. We used the Relative Index of Inequality (RII), the Slope Index of Inequality (SII), and the concentration index to assess wealth-related inequalities in mortality, and the Gini Index to assess variability in child mortality across households and communities. Poisson regression models were used, with person-time at risk included as an offset, and robust standard error to estimate changes in mortality rates by wealth and treatment arm. Interaction was assessed on both the multiplicative and additive scales.

Mortality declined with increasing wealth at both the household and community levels, with a significant gradient at the community level (RII = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.05-1.29; SII = 2.3 per 1,000 person-years, 95% CI: 0.2-4.4), reflecting higher mortality among the poorest. The effect of AZ did not vary significantly by wealth index, and changes in mortality rates across wealth levels were similar between the two treatment arms. There was no evidence of a statistically significant interaction between AZ and asset-based wealth on either the multiplicative or additive scale at the household or cluster level.

Our findings demonstrate a wealth gradient in child mortality, with the highest mortality rates observed among households and communities in the lowest wealth quintiles. These disparities were consistent across both AZ-treated and placebo groups, suggesting that the role of AZ in health disparities may be limited to addressing gaps in treatment access rather than broader wealth-related disparities. While the study may have been underpowered to detect modest interaction effects, AZ appeared to offer similar benefits across economically diverse communities, with no evidence suggesting enhanced benefits for disadvantaged communities or for prioritizing treatment based on wealth status. Further work is needed to address the wealth-related disparities in child mortality in these communities.

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03676764.