Knowledge-Guided Machine Learning for Global Change Ecology Research
Zhenong Jin1,2, Licheng Liu3, Qi Yang4
1Institute of Ecology, College of Urban and Environmental Science, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Global Change Biology
|February 10, 2026
Summary
Knowledge-guided machine learning (KGML) integrates ecological principles with AI to create better predictive models for global change ecology. This approach enhances understanding of ecosystem responses and supports sustainability goals.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Artificial Intelligence
- Computational Science
Background:
- Global change ecology requires predictive models that combine data-driven learning with mechanistic theory.
- Traditional models face challenges in spatiotemporal parameterization (process-based) or generalization and interpretability (data-driven).
- Existing approaches struggle to address complex, interconnected ecosystem challenges effectively.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review the transformative potential of Knowledge-Guided Machine Learning (KGML) in global change ecology.
- To showcase KGML's capacity to improve predictions of crucial ecological processes like carbon-water-nutrient cycles.
- To explore KGML's role in developing ecological foundation models and deriving actionable insights.
Main Methods:
- Systematic integration of ecological principles (e.g., physical laws, stoichiometry, process understanding) into machine learning models.
- Designing, training, and adjusting models to ensure generalization across diverse ecosystems.
- Reviewing emerging applications in decision support and symbolic regression.
Main Results:
- KGML offers a robust framework to bridge the gap between data-driven and theory-driven modeling approaches.
- Demonstrates enhanced prediction capabilities for carbon-water-nutrient cycles and other ecological processes.
- Highlights potential for developing ecological foundation models and generating novel hypotheses.
Conclusions:
- KGML represents a significant advancement for global change ecology, uniting ecological theory with AI.
- Future directions include adaptive data-knowledge integration, uncertainty quantification, and causal embedding.
- KGML is crucial for fostering scientific discovery and developing sustainable solutions for ecosystem challenges.
Keywords:
AIecosystem modelingfoundation modelglobal changehybrid modelingknowledge‐guided machine learningMore Related Videos
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