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A Novel Method for Inserting Dose Levels Mid-Trial in Early-Phase Oncology Combination Studies
Matthew George1, Ian Wadsworth1, Pavel Mozgunov2
1Phastar, London, UK.
Statistics in Medicine
|February 12, 2026
Summary
This study introduces a new method for oncology trials to insert dose levels during early phases. It helps find the maximum tolerated dose combination by identifying toxicity contours, improving trial efficiency.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Clinical Trials
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Combination treatments are increasingly used in early-phase oncology trials.
- Identifying the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) combination is a key objective.
- Challenges arise when the initial dose set lacks combinations near the target toxicity.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a novel method for inserting dose levels mid-trial in early-phase oncology studies.
- To address the challenge of finding MTD combinations when initial sets are suboptimal.
- To improve the precision of MTD identification in dose-finding trials.
Main Methods:
- Developed a method to search for a toxicity contour partitioning the dose space.
- The contour identifies combinations with toxicity above and below the target.
- The method triggers dose level insertion when no combination is close to the target toxicity.
- Evaluated the approach using simulations with the PIPE design and a 2D Bayesian logistic regression model (BLRM).
Main Results:
- The proposed insertion method increases the probability of selecting combinations close to the target toxicity.
- The method does not increase the probability of recommending subtherapeutic or toxic doses.
- Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the novel approach.
Conclusions:
- The novel mid-trial dose insertion method offers a systematic solution for MTD finding in oncology trials.
- This approach enhances the ability to identify optimal dose combinations, improving trial success rates.
- The method is compatible with various model-based and model-assisted designs.
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