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Risk-Resilience Feedback to Assure Critical Societal Functions
Samrat Chatterjee1,2, Auroop Ganguly1,2, Dennis Thomas3
1Data Sciences and Machine Intelligence Group, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, Washington, USA.
Understanding the interplay between risk and resilience is crucial due to increasing extreme events. This study revisits the risk-resilience feedback paradigm, connecting resilience to risk management for better disaster policy.
Area of Science:
- Disaster Science
- Systems Engineering
- Policy Analysis
Background:
- Extreme events are increasing, impacting interconnected societal functions.
- Existing frameworks link risk to function failure but neglect failure/recovery feedback to risk management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To revisit the risk-resilience feedback paradigm for connected societal functions.
- To advance science-informed disaster policy by linking resilience to risk management.
Main Methods:
- Conceptual framework analysis.
- Focus on connecting robustness and recovery (resilience) to threat, vulnerability, and consequence (risk).
- Illustrative example of a networked supply chain system.
Main Results:
- Resilience elements (robustness, recovery) can inform risk elements (threat, vulnerability, consequence).
- The risk-resilience feedback loop is essential for managing complex systems.
Conclusions:
- A systematic consideration of failure and recovery feedback is needed for effective risk management.
- Extending risk-resilience concepts to interconnected natural-built-human systems facing cascading risks is an open challenge.
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