A 25-year longitudinal study on dipping/nondipping tracking in the general population: the PAMELA study
Cesare Cuspidi1, Rita Facchetti1, Marijana Tadic2
1Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milano, Italy.
Journal of Hypertension
|February 26, 2026
Summary
Nighttime blood pressure (BP) patterns like dipping and nondipping are not consistently reproducible over 25 years. The nondipping pattern is particularly rare, seen in only 5.7% of participants long-term.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Hypertension Research
- Chronobiology
Background:
- Long-term reproducibility of nighttime blood pressure (BP) phenotypes, dipping (D) and nondipping (ND), is not well-established in population studies.
- The PAMELA study prospectively collected clinical, laboratory, ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM), and target organ damage data over 25 years.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the long-term reproducibility of nighttime BP phenotypes (D and ND) over a 25-year period.
- To assess the association between persistent and occasional nighttime BP phenotypes and markers of target organ damage.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 541 participants from the PAMELA study with data from initial, 10-year, and 25-year follow-up surveys.
- Nondipping (ND) pattern defined as night-time systolic BP reduction <10% compared to daytime values.
- Assessment of cardiac and vascular end-organ damage markers.
Main Results:
- 37.15% of participants with a dipping (D) pattern at baseline maintained it over 25 years (persistent D).
- Only 5.7% of participants exhibited a persistent nondipping (ND) pattern over the 25-year follow-up.
- No significant differences in cardiac and vascular end-organ damage markers were found between persistent/prevalent ND and occasional ND/persistent D phenotypes after risk factor adjustment.
Conclusions:
- Nocturnal BP phenotypes demonstrate poor long-term reproducibility, with persistent ND being very uncommon.
- The association between persistent vs. occasional nighttime BP phenotypes and target organ damage requires further investigation in larger cohorts.
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