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Published on: September 22, 2023
Diagnostic Accuracy Improvement of an Updated HEART Score to Predict Coronary Artery Disease as Detected by Coronary
Michele Della Rocca1, Stefano Ferdico1, Nicola Cosentino2
1Department of Emergency and Urgent Cardiac Care, Centro Cardiologico Monzino IRCCS, 20138 Milan, Italy.
Insights
The HEART score can be improved for predicting coronary artery disease in suspected acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients. Adding clinical factors like male gender, bundle branch block, hemoglobin, and glucose levels enhances diagnostic accuracy for coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) findings.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Diagnostic Imaging
- Risk Stratification
Background:
- The HEART score is a standard tool for assessing acute coronary syndrome (ACS) risk.
- Existing limitations necessitate exploring enhancements for improved diagnostic accuracy.
- Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) is crucial for visualizing coronary anatomy.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the HEART score in predicting CCTA findings.
- To investigate if integrating additional clinical variables can improve the HEART score's predictive power.
- To refine risk stratification for patients with suspected ACS undergoing CCTA.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective observational study of consecutive patients with suspected ACS.
- Analysis of HEART score accuracy for predicting significant coronary artery stenosis (≥70% stenosis) on CCTA.
- Exploration of improvements by adding variables like male gender, right bundle branch block, hemoglobin, and glucose levels in low-to-moderate risk patients.
Main Results:
- The HEART score alone had an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.68 for predicting significant coronary artery stenosis.
- Male gender, right bundle branch block, hemoglobin, and glucose levels independently predicted stenosis.
- Integrating these variables improved the AUC to 0.74 (p=0.004) and showed a net reclassification improvement of 13.5% (p=0.032).
Conclusions:
- Integrating additional clinical variables significantly enhances the HEART score's accuracy for predicting coronary artery stenosis on CCTA in low-to-moderate risk ACS patients.
- This tailored approach supports more precise patient management.
- Highlights the potential for developing more comprehensive diagnostic strategies in cardiology.
Abstract:
Background: The HEART score is a widely used risk-stratification tool in suspected acute coronary syndrome (ACS), but it still suffers from several limitations. We aim to assess its diagnostic accuracy for predicting coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) findings and explore possible enhancement by integrating additional clinical variables. Methods: In this retrospective, observational study, consecutive patients presenting to the Emergency Department with suspected ACS and undergoing CCTA were analyzed. The study assessed the HEART score's diagnostic accuracy for predicting significant coronary artery stenosis (defined as ≥70% stenosis at CCTA) and explored improvements by integrating additional clinical variables for low-to-moderate-risk patients. Results: Three hundred seventy-nine patients were enrolled (age: 61 ± 15 years; male: 57%). According to the HEART score, 27% were at low risk, 67% moderate risk, and 6% high risk, with a prevalence of significant CAD of 7%, 27%, and 67%, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) of the HEART score to predict significant CAD was 0.68. Male gender (OR = 1.76, 95% CI 1.03-3.02), right bundle branch block (OR = 4.15, 95% CI 1.66-10.40), and hemoglobin (OR = 1.21) and glucose levels (OR = 1.01) independently predicted significant coronary stenosis at CCTA in patients at low-to-moderate risk. Integrating these variables into the HEART score, the AUC improved from 0.68 to 0.74 (p = 0.004), with a net reclassification improvement of 13.5% (p = 0.032). Conclusions: Integrating additional clinical variables into the HEART score improves its accuracy to predict significant coronary artery stenosis at CCTA in suspected ACS patients at low-to-moderate risk. Tailoring assessments with these variables supports more accurate patient management and highlights the potential for more comprehensive diagnostic approaches.
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