Development and External Validation of a Prognostic Staging System for Predicting Wound Complication after Internal
Koichi Ogura1,2, John H Healey1, Patrick J Boland1
1From the Orthopaedic Service, Department of Surgery Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY (Ogura, Healey, Boland, Morris).
A new risk model helps predict wound complications after internal hemipelvectomy (IHP). This tool stratifies patients into low, intermediate, and high-risk categories, aiding surgical planning for better outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Surgical Oncology
- Reconstructive Surgery
Background:
- Internal hemipelvectomy (IHP) is a complex oncologic surgery.
- Wound healing complications are a significant challenge post-IHP.
- Preoperative risk assessment is crucial for surgical planning and complication reduction.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a preoperative risk stratification model for wound complications after IHP.
- To identify key predictors of surgical site complications.
- To stratify patients into distinct risk categories for targeted management.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective review of 411 patients undergoing en bloc internal hemipelvectomy for pelvic tumors (1996-2018).
- Data from a U.S. training set (N=123) and international validation set (N=288) were analyzed.
- Logistic regression identified predictors; a risk score incorporated resection type and tumor extension, creating low, intermediate, and high-risk groups.
Main Results:
- Wound complications requiring intervention occurred in 34% (training) and 35% (validation) of patients.
- Wound complication rates varied significantly across risk groups: low (7.1-7.4%), intermediate (32-40%), and high (49-67%) (p<0.001).
- The model showed fair-to-good discriminative performance (AUC 0.71-0.83) across diverse patient cohorts.
Conclusions:
- The first externally validated prognostic staging system for predicting wound complications post-IHP is presented.
- The model is simple, reproducible, and clinically applicable for preoperative risk identification.
- High-risk patients may benefit from modified surgical approaches or prophylactic reconstruction; further studies are needed for intermediate/high-risk management.
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