Clusters of vascular aging manifestations predict incident cardiovascular events in the community

T van Sloten1, P Boutouyrie2,3, M Abouqateb4

  • 1Department of Vascular Medicine, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Nature Communications
|March 5, 2026
PubMed

Insights

Vascular aging patterns, including arteriosclerosis and atherosclerosis, predict cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Identifying these patterns aids in early CVD risk identification and management.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Vascular Biology
  • Gerontology

Background:

  • Vascular aging involves progressive changes in vessel function and structure.
  • Single vascular aging signs link to increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.
  • Clustering of vascular aging manifestations and associated CVD risk remains unclear.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify distinct patterns of vascular aging at the individual level.
  • To determine if different vascular aging patterns correlate with varying risks of developing overt CVD.
  • To assess the predictive value of identified vascular aging patterns for CVD events.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized non-invasive carotid ultrasound to evaluate vascular aging.
  • Analyzed data from two large prospective cohorts (8360 and 2086 participants).
  • Identified three distinct vascular aging patterns: healthy vascular aging (HVA), arteriosclerosis, and atherosclerosis.

Main Results:

  • Arteriosclerosis and atherosclerosis patterns independently predict CVD risk compared to HVA.
  • These vascular aging patterns enhance CVD risk stratification, particularly for stroke in intermediate-risk individuals.
  • Vascular aging assessment can identify individuals at elevated CVD risk.

Conclusions:

  • Distinct vascular aging patterns exist and have differential impacts on CVD risk.
  • Carotid ultrasound-based vascular aging evaluation is a valuable tool for CVD risk assessment.
  • Identifying specific vascular aging clusters improves cardiovascular risk stratification and management strategies.

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