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Is modernization widening cultural differences?

Thomas Talhelm1

  • 1University of Chicago Booth School of Business, Chicago, IL, USA.

PNAS Nexus
|March 12, 2026
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Contrary to popular belief, modernization is increasing cultural differences, not shrinking them. New evidence suggests modernization provides resources that amplify pre-existing cultural values, leading to greater divergence between nations over time.

Keywords:
Chinacapitalismcultureculture changefree tradeglobalizationmodernizationrice theoryvalues

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Area of Science:

  • Cultural psychology
  • Sociology
  • Behavioral genetics

Background:

  • Classic modernization theory posits that societal development leads to increased individualism and reduced cultural variation.
  • However, emerging evidence challenges this assumption, suggesting a more complex relationship between modernization and cultural differences.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To present counterintuitive evidence that modernization can increase, rather than decrease, cultural differences.
  • To propose a new theoretical framework, the 'seed model,' to explain these divergent findings.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of 40 years of data from the World Values Survey to track changes in national values.
  • Development of the 'seed model' to conceptualize how modernization interacts with pre-existing cultural beliefs.

Main Results:

  • Contrary to classic modernization theory, nations have become more dissimilar in their values over the past 40 years.
  • The World Values Survey data indicates an increase in cultural variation, not convergence.

Conclusions:

  • Modernization may not uniformly lead to cultural convergence; it can amplify existing differences.
  • The 'seed model' provides a new lens for understanding how modernization impacts cultural diversity across various domains, including psychology and behavioral genetics.