Shared multicellular injury programs of acute and chronic kidney disease enable mechanistic patient stratification

Acute kidney injury (AKI) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are two interconnected clinical conditions, both defined by degree of functional impairment, but with heterogeneous clinical trajectories. Using new transcriptomic technologies, recent studies have described the cellular diversity in the healthy and injured kidney at the single cell level. Here, we used single nucleus transcriptomics to investigate the molecular diversity and commonalities in kidney biopsies from over 150 participants with AKI and CKD enrolled within the Kidney Precision Medicine Project (KPMP) and did so at the patient participant level. Using an unsupervised approach, we identified two multi-cellular programs associated with clinical and histopathological features of acute injury and chronic damage, respectively. We found that these programs are expressed across patients with AKI and CKD, supporting shared, rather than distinct, underlying molecular mechanisms. These programs capture tissue-level compositional changes towards adaptive and failed-repair states in tubular epithelial cells, as well as intra-cellular molecular changes characteristic of stress in all cell types. We identified subunits of the NFkB and AP-1 complexes, as well as members of the STAT family, as putative upstream regulators of the acute and chronic programs. We were able to map these continuous molecular measures of acute injury and chronic damage to urine and plasma protein profiles obtained at time of biopsy. These non-invasive protein signatures were predictive of renal outcomes in an independent cohort of 44 thousand participants from the UK biobank. In summary, unbiased identification of cellular programs in kidney disease biopsies defined molecular programs of injury cutting across conventional disease categorization and established a non-invasive molecular link to long term patient outcomes.