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TabulaTime: Novel multimodal deep learning for Acute Coronary Syndrome prediction through environmental and clinical
Xin Zhang1, Liangxiu Han1, Saad Hassan2
1Department of Computing and Mathematics, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, M15 6BH, UK.
Insights
This study introduces TabulaTime, a deep learning model that integrates clinical and environmental data to improve acute coronary syndrome (ACS) risk prediction, enhancing accuracy by over 20%. The framework offers better personalized prevention strategies for cardiovascular health.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Artificial Intelligence
- Environmental Health
Background:
- Acute Coronary Syndromes (ACS) are a major global health concern, leading to significant mortality.
- Traditional Cardiovascular Risk Scores (CVRS) primarily use clinical data, often overlooking environmental influences like air pollution and climate.
- Integrating complex, time-series clinical and environmental data for cardiovascular risk prediction presents significant computational challenges.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a multimodal deep learning framework, TabulaTime, for enhanced prediction of ACS risk.
- To integrate clinical risk factors with time-series environmental data for improved cardiovascular health assessment.
- To address the limitations of traditional risk scores by incorporating environmental determinants.
Main Methods:
- Proposed TabulaTime, a multimodal deep learning framework for integrating clinical and environmental time-series data.
- Utilized PatchRWKV, a novel architecture for efficient extraction of complex temporal patterns with linear complexity.
- Employed attention mechanisms within the framework to enhance model interpretability.
Main Results:
- TabulaTime demonstrated a 20.5% improvement in prediction accuracy compared to the CatBoost model.
- Environmental data integration contributed a 10.1% gain in predictive performance.
- The PatchRWKV architecture outperformed existing state-of-the-art models, including MLP, CNN, RNN, and Transformer-based approaches.
Conclusions:
- TabulaTime offers a significant advancement in ACS risk prediction by effectively integrating multimodal data.
- The framework enhances personalized prevention strategies and strengthens public health initiatives against cardiovascular diseases.
- Highlighting key clinical and environmental predictors provides actionable insights for targeted interventions.
Abstract:
Acute Coronary Syndromes (ACS), including ST- and non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI, NSTEMI), remain a leading cause of global mortality. Traditional Cardiovascular Risk Scores (CVRS) provide important insights but mainly rely on clinical data, often neglecting environmental factors (e.g.air pollution, climate) that significantly influence cardiovascular health. Integrating complex time-series environmental and clinical datasets also presents substantial challenges. We propose TabulaTime, a multimodal deep learning framework integrating clinical risk factors with environmental data to enhance ACS risk prediction. TabulaTime delivers three innovations: multimodal integration of time-series environmental and clinical data; PatchRWKV for extracting complex temporal patterns with linear computational complexity; and enhanced interpretability through attention mechanisms. TabulaTime improves prediction accuracy by 20.5% over CatBoost, with environmental data contributing a 10.1% gain. PatchRWKV outperforms state-of-the-art models (MLP-, CNN-, RNN- and Transformer-based models). Feature analysis highlights key clinical and environmental predictors. This approach advances personalised prevention and strengthens public health against cardiovascular risks.
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