Development of a Predictive Tool in Patients With High Pretest Probability for Transthyretin Amyloid Cardiomyopathy

Jocelyn Chai1, Andrew Starovoytov1, Daniel Worsley2

  • 1Division of Cardiology, University of British Columbia, British Columbia, Canada.

JACC. Advances
|March 26, 2026
PubMed

Insights

This study developed screening criteria and a predictive tool for transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM), identifying new diagnoses in 23% of high-risk patients. The tool aids clinicians in refining diagnosis and pretest probability for ATTR-CM.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Medical Diagnostics
  • Clinical Research

Background:

  • Transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) is a frequently underdiagnosed condition contributing to heart failure, arrhythmias, and valvular disease.
  • Early identification of ATTR-CM is crucial for timely intervention and improved patient outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To establish screening criteria for identifying patients at high risk of developing ATTR-CM.
  • To develop a predictive diagnostic tool for ATTR-CM.

Main Methods:

  • A prospective observational registry study conducted between 2019-2022 at two Vancouver academic sites.
  • Screening of patients over 60 years old presenting to heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and transcatheter valve clinics.
  • Utilizing univariable and multivariable logistic regression to identify predictors of ATTR-CM in patients undergoing technetium-99m-pyrophosphate scintigraphy.

Main Results:

  • Out of 2,500 screened patients, 200 were enrolled; 46 (23.0%) were diagnosed with ATTR-CM.
  • ATTR-CM patients were older, more frequently male, and exhibited higher NT-proBNP levels, increased posterior wall thickness, low QRS voltages, more atrioventricular block, and higher Doppler E/e' ratios compared to non-ATTR-CM patients.
  • A 5-item predictive tool demonstrated high diagnostic accuracy with 89.1% sensitivity and 85.1% specificity (AUC 0.931).

Conclusions:

  • Broad screening in high-risk populations identified new ATTR-CM cases in 23% of patients.
  • The developed predictive tool can assist clinicians in refining pretest probability and optimizing ATTR-CM diagnosis.
  • External validation of the predictive tool in diverse patient populations is recommended.
Abstract

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