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Updated: Apr 1, 2026

Predictive Immune Modeling of Solid Tumors
Published on: February 25, 2020
Integrating tumor and immune cell transcriptomics to predict immune checkpoint inhibitor primary resistance in
Juan Luis Onieva1,2, Elisabeth Pérez-Ruiz2,3, Ville Vilkki1
1Group of Translational Research in Cancer Immunotherapy and Epigenetics (B-05), Medical Oncology Unit of Virgen de la Victoria Hospital, Instituto de Investigación Biomédica de Málaga y Plataforma en Nanomedicina-IBIMA Plataforma Bionand, Malaga, Spain.
Abstract:
The emergence of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has transformed the treatment landscape of metastatic melanoma. However, despite its success, reliable biomarkers for predicting primary resistance are not available in clinical practice. This study seeks to identify predictors of primary resistance based on novel gene expression signatures. The transcriptomic profile of the tumor microenvironment was analyzed using tissue samples from 46 metastatic cutaneous melanoma patients collected prior to the initiation of ICIs therapy. A primary resistance predictive model was trained with the Discovery FFPE RNA-seq subcohort and validated using an independent external cohort of 54 samples. Additionally, liquid biopsy samples from peripheral blood mononuclear cells were analyzed in 8 patients using single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) and in 46 patients using flow cytometry. We identified an 82-gene transcriptomic signature composed of tumor- and immune-related genes that stratifies metastatic cutaneous melanoma patients based on primary resistance to ICIs, with key markers including CXCL13, WDR63, MZB1, FDCSP, IGKC and GRIK3. This signature achieved an AUC of 0.814. Immune deconvolution guided by scRNA-seq revealed four immune cell subsets (Plasma cells, Pre-B cells, memory CD4⁺ T cells, and naive CD4⁺ T cells) as prognostic indicators of resistance. We propose a transcriptomic biomarker signature that accurately predicts primary resistance to ICIs in metastatic cutaneous melanoma. Through the integration of immune deconvolution with circulating immune cell profiles, we derived an ImmuneSignature linked to patient survival. By combining these approaches, we provide a framework for enhancing the prediction of immunotherapy outcomes and offer a novel strategy for identifying therapeutic targets to overcome resistance.
Insights
Researchers identified an 82-gene signature to predict primary resistance to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in metastatic melanoma. This discovery offers a novel strategy for predicting immunotherapy outcomes and overcoming resistance.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Immunology
- Genomics
Background:
- Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized metastatic melanoma treatment.
- Predictive biomarkers for primary resistance to ICIs are lacking in clinical practice.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify novel gene expression signatures predicting primary resistance to ICIs in metastatic cutaneous melanoma.
- To develop a predictive model for immunotherapy response.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of tumor microenvironment transcriptomic profiles from 46 metastatic cutaneous melanoma patients.
- Training and validation of a predictive model using RNA-sequencing data.
- Single-cell RNA sequencing and flow cytometry analysis of peripheral blood mononuclear cells.
Main Results:
- An 82-gene transcriptomic signature accurately stratified patients based on primary resistance to ICIs (AUC 0.814).
- Key predictive markers include CXCL13, WDR63, MZB1, FDCSP, IGKC, and GRIK3.
- Four immune cell subsets (Plasma cells, Pre-B cells, memory CD4⁺ T cells, naive CD4⁺ T cells) were identified as prognostic indicators of resistance.
Conclusions:
- A novel transcriptomic biomarker signature can predict primary resistance to ICIs in metastatic cutaneous melanoma.
- Integration of immune deconvolution and circulating immune cell profiles provides a framework for enhancing immunotherapy outcome prediction.
- This study offers a strategy for identifying therapeutic targets to overcome resistance.

