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Union Wage Gap in Vietnam: A Distributional Analysis
Dung Kieu Nguyen1, Mai Thi Xuan Nguyen2, Thi Bich Tran2
1FPT School of Business and Technology, FPT University, Hanoi, Vietnam.
Evaluation Review
|March 31, 2026
Summary
Trade unions in Vietnam
Area of Science:
- Labor economics
- Industrial relations
- Vietnam labor market dynamics
Background:
- Vietnam's labor relations are shifting from a single state-led union to independent unions.
- Understanding union impact on labor market outcomes is crucial for this transition.
- Empirical evidence on union effects in Vietnam is limited due to data constraints.
Purpose of the Study:
- To provide the first empirical evidence on trade union effects on wages across the distribution in Vietnam's private sector.
- To analyze the distributional structure of the union-によるwage gap.
- To inform policy and support Vietnam's labor market reforms.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a large, nationally representative dataset.
- Employed Unconditional Quantile Regression (UQR) to estimate union effects across the wage distribution.
- Implemented Oaxaca-Blinder-type decomposition using Recentered Influence Functions (RIF) for detailed gap analysis.
Main Results:
- Consistently negative union coefficients were found at all wage quantiles for men.
- The wage gap, influenced by unions, became increasingly negative from the middle to the upper wage distribution for both genders.
- The explained component of the wage gap increased substantially in magnitude at higher quantiles.
Conclusions:
- Trade unions in Vietnam's private sector appear to negatively impact wages across the distribution, particularly for higher earners.
- The study highlights the complex role of unions in a transitioning economy with strong institutional influence.
- Findings offer critical insights for policymakers navigating labor reforms and union development.
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