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Maximum Likelihood and Bayesian Estimation in Cross-Domain Latent Growth Curve Modeling: The Impact of Reliability,
Parisa Rafiee1, Elizabeth Pauley1, Manshu Yang1
1The University of Rhode Island.
Covariance-based Bayesian (B-Cov) estimation is superior for cross-domain latent growth curve (CD-LGC) models, showing better performance than Full Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML) and regression-based Bayesian (B-Reg) methods in simulations.
Area of Science:
- Longitudinal data analysis
- Psychometrics
- Statistical modeling
Background:
- Cross-domain latent growth curve (CD-LGC) models analyze associations between changes in time-varying predictors and outcomes.
- Assessing 'change-on-change' effects is crucial in longitudinal research.
- Evaluating different estimation methods for CD-LGC models is important for reliable results.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the performance of Full Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML), regression-based Bayesian (B-Reg), and covariance-based Bayesian (B-Cov) estimation methods in CD-LGC models.
- To investigate the influence of reliability, sample size, and missing data on these estimation methods.
- To identify the most robust estimation strategy for CD-LGC analyses.
Main Methods:
- Simulation study evaluating CD-LGC models.
- Comparison of FIML, B-Reg, and B-Cov estimation techniques.
- Assessment of performance based on convergence rates, bias, and mean squared errors under varying conditions (reliability, sample size, missing data).
Main Results:
- Covariance-based Bayesian (B-Cov) estimation consistently outperformed other methods, demonstrating high convergence rates, low bias, and small mean squared errors.
- Full Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML) showed underperformance with lower reliability (fewer occasions, higher error variance).
- Regression-based Bayesian (B-Reg) estimation exhibited significant biases across most simulated conditions.
Conclusions:
- B-Cov is a highly recommended and robust estimation method for CD-LGC models.
- Researchers should consider the impact of reliability and missing data when choosing an estimation method for longitudinal studies.
- The findings provide guidance for selecting appropriate statistical techniques in complex longitudinal data analysis.
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