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Emergency Undocking in Robotic Surgery: A Simulation Curriculum
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Prospect-Theoretic Risk Assessment of Emergency Response Performance Under Procedural Dependency and Organizational

Renlong Wang1, Jingyao Yue1, Jintao Lu2

  • 1School of Emergency Management Science and Engineering, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.

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Summary

This study introduces a new dynamic metanetwork framework for emergency response performance assessment (ERPA). It improves risk analysis by considering decision-maker behavior and collaboration in complex emergency situations.

Keywords:
bounded rationalitydynamic metanetwork modeling and analysisemergency response performance assessmentprospect theoryrisk analysis

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Area of Science:

  • Disaster Management
  • Systems Engineering
  • Risk Analysis

Background:

  • Emergency response performance assessment (ERPA) is vital for effective emergency management.
  • Current ERPA methods often overlook operational dynamics, decision-maker rationality, and collaborative impacts.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a novel dynamic metanetwork-based risk analysis framework for ERPA.
  • To incorporate prospect theory, multisubjective interactions, and decision-maker perceptions.

Main Methods:

  • Representing emergency response systems as dynamic metanetworks with procedures, organizations, resources, and information nodes.
  • Utilizing prospect theory and S-shaped timeliness functions to model bounded rationality and procedural dependency.
  • Integrating organizational collaboration forms (handoffs, co-assignments, negotiations) and external uncertainty via a fuzzy affiliation function.

Main Results:

  • The proposed framework effectively captures complex interactions within emergency response systems.
  • Demonstrated effectiveness in a case study of the Manchester Arena attack risk ERPA.
  • Sensitivity and comparative analyses confirmed the framework's robustness in complex scenarios.

Conclusions:

  • The dynamic metanetwork framework offers a more comprehensive approach to ERPA.
  • It enhances proactive risk identification and post-event improvement in emergency management.
  • The framework provides valuable insights for optimizing emergency response operations.