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Fetal Heart Rate at 12 Weeks' Gestation and the Risk of Preterm Birth: A Prospective Validation Study
José Morales-Roselló1,2, Alicia Soriano-Payá3, Blanca Novillo-Del Álamo1,4
1Servicio de Obstetricia y Ginecología, Hospital Universitario y Politécnico La, Valencia, Spain.
Insights
Elevated fetal heart rate (FHR) at the 12-week scan is linked to a higher risk of spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB), especially before 34 weeks. Combining FHR with free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (free-βhCG) improves early screening for sPTB.
Area of Science:
- Maternal-Fetal Medicine
- Obstetrics
- Reproductive Health
Background:
- Preterm birth (PTB) remains a leading cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality.
- Early identification of pregnancies at risk for PTB is crucial for timely intervention.
- First-trimester screening markers are being investigated to predict adverse pregnancy outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To prospectively validate the association between fetal heart rate (FHR) measured at the 12-week scan and the risk of preterm birth (PTB).
- To assess the predictive value of FHR for spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB), including early-onset sPTB (<34 weeks).
- To evaluate the combined predictive performance of FHR with other first-trimester parameters for sPTB.
Main Methods:
- Prospective cohort study of 1276 singleton pregnancies.
- Fetal heart rate (FHR) measured at 11-13+6 weeks' gestation.
- Logistic regression and ROC curve analyses incorporating clinical, sonographic, and biochemical markers (free-βhCG).
Main Results:
- Higher FHR at 12 weeks was significantly associated with PTB and sPTB.
- FHR was the only consistent predictor of PTB and sPTB in univariable analysis.
- Multivariable models showed FHR predicted sPTB <34 weeks (AUC 0.73), improving to AUC 0.81 when combined with free-βhCG.
Conclusions:
- Elevated FHR at the 12-week scan is a significant predictor of spontaneous preterm birth, particularly before 34 weeks' gestation.
- FHR, especially when integrated with free-βhCG, shows potential for enhancing early first-trimester screening strategies for sPTB.
- These findings support the inclusion of FHR in first-trimester risk assessment for spontaneous preterm birth.
Objectives:
To prospectively validate the association between fetal heart rate (FHR) at the 12-week scan and the risk of preterm birth (PTB), including spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB).
Methods:
This prospective cohort study included 1276 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine first-trimester screening at 11-13 + 6 weeks' gestation and followed until delivery. Associations between FHR and PTB outcomes were assessed using univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, incorporating clinical, sonographic, and biochemical first-trimester parameters.
Results:
Compared with term births, pregnancies resulting in PTB (n = 34) and sPTB (n = 23) showed significantly higher FHR at the 12-week scan (163.6 versus 160.1 bpm, p = .007; and 164.1 versus 160.1 bpm, p = .014, respectively). In univariable analyses, FHR was the only parameter consistently associated with PTB, PTB <34 weeks, sPTB, and sPTB <34 weeks (odds ratios per bpm increase ranging from 1.08 to 1.12). Free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (free-βhCG) was associated with PTB <34 weeks and showed borderline significance for other PTB outcomes. In multivariable models, FHR showed the highest predictive performance for sPTB <34 weeks (AUC 0.73; detection rate 25% at a 10% false-positive rate), which improved when combined with free-βhCG (AUC 0.81; detection rate 43% at a 10% false-positive rate).
Conclusion:
Elevated FHR at the 12-week scan is associated with sPTB, particularly before 34 weeks' gestation. FHR, especially when combined with free-βhCG, may contribute to early first-trimester screening strategies for sPTB.
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