Urinary Albumin-to-Creatinine Ratio as an Independent Predictor of 90-Day Outcomes in Patients Hospitalized for Acute...

Background: Albuminuria reflects systemic endothelial dysfunction and cardiorenal interaction in heart failure (HF), yet its short-term prognostic value in acute decompensated HF (ADHF) remains incompletely characterized. Methods: We conducted a prospective observational cohort study including 144 patients with complete follow-up hospitalized for ADHF. Urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR), NT-proBNP, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were measured within 24 h of admission. Prior HF hospitalization within 12 months was recorded. The primary endpoint was a 90-day post-discharge composite of all-cause mortality or HF rehospitalization. Associations were examined using logistic regression, and discrimination was assessed using ROC curves with AUC comparisons. Results: Twenty-six patients (18.1%) experienced the 90-day composite endpoint. In univariable analysis, log₁₀-transformed ACR was strongly associated with events (OR 3.90, 95% CI 1.92-7.91; p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, ACR remained independently associated with the endpoint in Model 1 (ACR + prior HF hospitalization: OR 4.21, 95% CI 1.93-9.17; p < 0.001) and Model 2 (additional adjustment for log₁₀ NT-proBNP: OR 3.49, 95% CI 1.54-7.91; p = 0.003). NT-proBNP was not independently associated with outcome in the fully adjusted model (p = 0.080). Discrimination improved from AUC 0.724 for ACR alone to 0.821 for Model 1 and 0.836 for Model 2; the AUC difference between Model 1 and Model 2 was not statistically significant (p = 0.404). Conclusions: Urinary ACR independently predicts 90-day adverse outcomes after ADHF hospitalization and improves discrimination when combined with recent HF hospitalization history; NT-proBNP did not provide significant incremental discrimination beyond this model.