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Updated: Apr 17, 2026

A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Real-world transition from uncontrolled disease to stability: Three-year Pre-post natalizumab comparison in relapsing
Serkan Ozakbas1, Orkhan Mammadov2, Said Alizada2
1Izmir University of Economics, Medical Point Hospital, Izmir, Turkey.
Background:
Natalizumab is a highly effective therapy for relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS), yet few real-world studies have directly compared disease activity before and after treatment initiation within the same patients.
Objective:
To evaluate the real-world impact of natalizumab on relapse activity, disability, and MRI activity by comparing disease outcomes during the three years before and after treatment initiation.
Methods:
We retrospectively analyzed 246 patients who initiated natalizumab at a single centre. After excluding patients without baseline data (n = 38) or with insufficient follow-up or incomplete MRI data (n = 77), 131 patients were included in the final analysis. Annualized relapse rate (ARR), Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), and MRI activity were compared between the 36-month pre-treatment and 36-month on-treatment periods.
Results:
Natalizumab treatment was associated with a marked reduction in relapse activity. Mean ARR decreased from 0.69 in the pre-treatment period to 0.04 during the on-treatment period, and the proportion of patients with relapses declined from 88.5% to 8.4%. Disability remained overall stable during follow-up, with no significant difference between EDSS three years before treatment and EDSS three years after treatment. MRI activity decreased from 74.8% in the pre-treatment period to 9.2% during the on-treatment period, and 84.0% of patients achieved no evidence of disease activity (NEDA-3). Pregnancy-related observations were limited to a small descriptive subgroup.
Conclusion:
Over three years, natalizumab was associated with substantial suppression of relapse activity, stable disability, and reduced MRI activity compared with the pre-treatment period.
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