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AGA Clinical Practice Update on Risk Stratification and Emerging Surveillance Strategies for Hepatocellular
Nicole E Rich1, Augusto Villanueva2, Jorge A Marrero3
1Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas.
Gastroenterology
|April 22, 2026
Summary
Preventing cirrhosis is key to reducing liver cancer (hepatocellular carcinoma) deaths. Current surveillance using ultrasound and alpha-fetoprotein is recommended, but new biomarkers need validation before routine use.
Area of Science:
- Hepatology
- Gastroenterology
- Oncology
Background:
- Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of cancer death, particularly in patients with cirrhosis.
- Current surveillance methods for HCC have limitations in sensitivity and are underutilized.
- The incidence of HCC is increasing in nonviral liver diseases, highlighting the need for improved detection strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To provide Best Practice Advice on emerging strategies for HCC risk stratification and surveillance.
- To offer guidance on the optimal use of current and novel approaches to HCC detection.
- To address the challenges in integrating new biomarkers into clinical practice.
Main Methods:
- Expert Review commissioned by the AGA Institute Clinical Practice Updates Committee.
- Guidance based on a review of published literature and expert opinion.
- Development of Best Practice Advice statements without a formal systematic review.
Main Results:
- Preventing cirrhosis is the primary strategy to reduce HCC morbidity and mortality.
- Semiannual ultrasound and alpha-fetoprotein remain the preferred HCC surveillance strategy.
- Novel biomarkers require further validation; current evidence does not support their routine use over guideline-recommended tests.
- Risk-stratification scores for HCC in patients with cirrhosis are largely unvalidated, though some exist for chronic hepatitis B patients without cirrhosis.
Conclusions:
- Focus on cirrhosis prevention and early intervention for liver diseases.
- Continue current semiannual ultrasound and alpha-fetoprotein surveillance for high-risk patients.
- Exercise caution with novel biomarkers and risk-stratification tools until robust validation is achieved.
- Clinicians should consider the potential harms associated with HCC surveillance.

