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Shifts in Acute Kidney Injury Trends Post-Alert System Implementation: A Retrospective Observational Cohort Study
Jinyeong Yi1, Jiwon Ryu2,3, Tran Tuan Tu4,5
1Center for Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Republic of Korea.
Rationale & Objective:
Acute kidney injury (AKI), a complex syndrome involving multiple organ systems, requires timely intervention to prevent adverse outcomes. Despite the promise of AKI alert systems in improving early detection and management, their long-term effectiveness remains unevaluated. This study aimed to investigate the sustained impact of an AKI alert system over a decade of implementation.
Study Design:
Retrospective observational cohort study.
Setting & Participants:
Conducted at a Korean tertiary hospital, analyzing 13,301 adult patients with AKI, from 246,650 admissions (2013-2023).
Exposure:
Introduction of an automated AKI alert system (implemented June 2014).
Outcomes:
Primary outcomes included 14-day AKI recovery, stage progression, dialysis onset, and mortality. Process outcomes comprised early nephrology consultation, overlooked AKI cases, and discontinuation of nephrotoxic medications. Long-term outcome was assessed as ≥35% estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline within 3 years.
Analytical Approach:
Outcomes were compared across pre-alert (January 2013-May 2014), alert implementation (June 2014-December 2019), and pandemic (January 2020-December 2023) phases, using adjusted multivariable logistic analyses calculating unadjusted and covariate-adjusted odds ratios (ORs). Interrupted time series analysis evaluated temporal trends.
Results:
AKI recovery rates increased substantially in both alert implementation and pandemic phases (adjusted OR 2.40 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.16-2.66] and 2.19 [1.94-2.47], respectively). Early nephrology consultation improved significantly (adjusted OR 3.33 [2.81-3.95] and 2.65 [2.20-3.19]), and overlooked AKI cases decreased (adjusted OR 0.49 [0.43-0.55] and 0.43 [0.36-0.51]). Long-term renal outcomes showed lower risk of significant eGFR decline during the implementation phase (adjusted OR 0.86 [0.76-0.99]). Interrupted time series analysis showed immediate improvements in recovery rates, early consultation rates, and overlooked AKI cases following alert implementation.
Limitations:
Single-center, retrospective design limits generalizability. Patient characteristic changes may confound results.
Conclusions:
The AKI alert system achieved sustained improvements in AKI recovery, early nephrology consultation, and AKI monitoring, over a decade, demonstrating long-term effectiveness despite evolving patient populations and health care environments.
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