Engineering biomarker representations of vital signs data enhances deep learning mortality prediction

We evaluated bidirectional long short-term memory models for predicting inpatient mortality using different approaches to processing vital signs data collected during the initial 24 h of intensive care unit (ICU) admissions.

We compared 3 vital-sign representations: (1) raw data recorded every 5 min, (2) preprocessed data averaged hourly, and (3) preprocessed data using biomarker representations that extends a digital oximetry biomarker toolbox of PhysioZoo software, applied to blood pressure, heart rate, temperature, respiratory rate, and SpO2.

Across 2 large ICU datasets, HiRID and eICU, models trained on the frequency-normalized representation achieved higher discrimination and lower Brier scores than those trained on raw 5-min and hourly averaged data.

The use of biomarker representations of vital signs yielded the largest improvements in discrimination and overall probabilistic performance reflected by lower Brier scores for predicting inpatient mortality by deep learning.

Thus, we recommend using a similar approach to vital signs preprocessing for time-series predictive models.