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Uric Acid-to-HDL Cholesterol Ratio as an Independent Predictor of In-Hospital New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in
Mehmet Nail Bilen1, Ömer Genç1, Gazi Çapar1
1İstanbul Başakşehir Çam ve Sakura Şehir Hastanesi, 34480 Istanbul, Turkey.
Insights
The uric acid-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (UAHDLr) strongly predicts new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in hospitalized non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) patients. Higher UAHDLr levels indicate increased risk, aiding early stratification.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Biomarker Research
- Clinical Prediction Models
Background:
- Non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) is a critical cardiovascular condition.
- New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a common complication during NSTEMI hospitalization.
- Identifying predictive biomarkers for NOAF in NSTEMI patients is crucial for risk stratification.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between the uric acid-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (UAHDLr) and the risk of in-hospital new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF).
- To evaluate UAHDLr as a potential predictive biomarker for NOAF in patients with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI).
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of NSTEMI patients without prior atrial fibrillation.
- Log2-transformation of UAHDLr to assess the effect of doubling.
- Feature selection using LASSO regression and Cox proportional hazards models with sequential adjustments.
- Restricted cubic spline analysis for nonlinear associations and time-dependent ROC analysis for discrimination.
Main Results:
- UAHDLr was independently associated with in-hospital NOAF across all adjusted models.
- A 1-unit increase in log2-transformed UAHDLr significantly elevated NOAF risk (fully adjusted HR: 13.40).
- Restricted cubic spline analysis revealed a progressive increase in NOAF risk with higher UAHDLr values, with stable discrimination (AUC ~0.76).
Conclusions:
- UAHDLr is a potent and accessible biomarker for predicting in-hospital NOAF in NSTEMI patients.
- UAHDLr can aid in the early risk stratification of NSTEMI patients susceptible to developing atrial fibrillation.
- This finding supports the clinical utility of UAHDLr in cardiovascular risk assessment.
Abstract:
Background: To investigate the association between the uric acid-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (UAHDLr) and the risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) during hospitalization in patients with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). Methods: This retrospective cohort study included NSTEMI patients without prior atrial fibrillation. UAHDLr was log2-transformed to evaluate the effect of doubling. Feature selection was performed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. Cox proportional hazards models with sequential adjustments were applied. Nonlinear associations were assessed using restricted cubic spline analysis, and discrimination was evaluated with time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis. Results: UAHDLr was independently associated with in-hospital NOAF across all models. Doubling (1-unit increase) UAHDLr significantly increased NOAF risk in unadjusted (HR: 5.97, 95% CI: 3.71-9.61) and clinically adjusted models (HR: 5.98, 95% CI: 3.58-9.99). The association was stronger in the LASSO-adjusted (HR: 8.19, 95% CI: 4.13-16.24) and fully adjusted models (HR: 13.40, 95% CI: 5.90-30.44). Spline analysis showed a progressive increase in NOAF risk with higher UAHDLr values. Discrimination was stable, with an area under the curve of approximately 0.76. Conclusions: UAHDLr is a strong, easily accessible biomarker for predicting in-hospital NOAF in NSTEMI patients and may support early risk stratification.
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