Uric Acid-to-HDL Cholesterol Ratio as an Independent Predictor of In-Hospital New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in

Mehmet Nail Bilen1, Ömer Genç1, Gazi Çapar1

  • 1İstanbul Başakşehir Çam ve Sakura Şehir Hastanesi, 34480 Istanbul, Turkey.

Insights

The uric acid-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (UAHDLr) strongly predicts new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in hospitalized non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) patients. Higher UAHDLr levels indicate increased risk, aiding early stratification.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Biomarker Research
  • Clinical Prediction Models

Background:

  • Non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) is a critical cardiovascular condition.
  • New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a common complication during NSTEMI hospitalization.
  • Identifying predictive biomarkers for NOAF in NSTEMI patients is crucial for risk stratification.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the association between the uric acid-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (UAHDLr) and the risk of in-hospital new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF).
  • To evaluate UAHDLr as a potential predictive biomarker for NOAF in patients with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI).

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective cohort study of NSTEMI patients without prior atrial fibrillation.
  • Log2-transformation of UAHDLr to assess the effect of doubling.
  • Feature selection using LASSO regression and Cox proportional hazards models with sequential adjustments.
  • Restricted cubic spline analysis for nonlinear associations and time-dependent ROC analysis for discrimination.

Main Results:

  • UAHDLr was independently associated with in-hospital NOAF across all adjusted models.
  • A 1-unit increase in log2-transformed UAHDLr significantly elevated NOAF risk (fully adjusted HR: 13.40).
  • Restricted cubic spline analysis revealed a progressive increase in NOAF risk with higher UAHDLr values, with stable discrimination (AUC ~0.76).

Conclusions:

  • UAHDLr is a potent and accessible biomarker for predicting in-hospital NOAF in NSTEMI patients.
  • UAHDLr can aid in the early risk stratification of NSTEMI patients susceptible to developing atrial fibrillation.
  • This finding supports the clinical utility of UAHDLr in cardiovascular risk assessment.

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