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The Evolving Role of High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein for Mortality Prediction Across the Spectrum of
Jing Li1,2,3,4, Shuohua Chen5, Xiaoli Zhang1,2,3
1Department of Epidemiology, Beijing Neurosurgical Institute, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Insights
High-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) predicts mortality in cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome, but its impact lessens as CKM stages advance. Stage-specific assessment is key for managing CKM syndrome risk.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Nephrology
- Metabolic Diseases
- Biomarkers
Background:
- High-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) is a key inflammatory marker in cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome.
- The prognostic significance of hsCRP across different stages of CKM syndrome requires further elucidation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between hsCRP levels and all-cause mortality across progressive stages of CKM syndrome.
- To determine if the prognostic value of hsCRP varies depending on the severity of CKM syndrome.
Main Methods:
- Prospective analysis of 86,829 participants from the Kailuan Study.
- Stratification of participants by American Heart Association-defined CKM stages (0-4).
- Multivariable Cox models used to assess hazard ratios for mortality based on ln(hsCRP) and dichotomized hsCRP levels.
Main Results:
- A significant association between hsCRP and higher mortality was observed across all CKM stages.
- The strength of this association progressively attenuated with advancing CKM stages (p for interaction < 0.001).
- Early CKM stages showed steeper mortality risk curves associated with hsCRP, which plateaued in later stages.
Conclusions:
- The predictive value of hsCRP for mortality decreases as CKM syndrome progresses.
- Early CKM stages appear more driven by inflammation, while later stages involve complex multiorgan dysfunction.
- Stage-specific risk assessment integrating hsCRP is recommended for CKM syndrome management.
Aims:
High-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) is central to cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome pathogenesis, but its prognostic value across progressive CKM stages remains uncertain. We aimed to evaluate the stage-specific associations between hsCRP and mortality in CKM syndrome.
Materials And Methods:
In this prospective analysis of 86 829 participants from the Kailuan Study, we evaluated hsCRP's association with all-cause mortality stratified by AHA-defined CKM stages (0-4). Multivariable Cox models assessed hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality per unit increase in ln(hsCRP) and by dichotomised hsCRP (< 2 vs. ≥ 2 mg/L).
Results:
Over a median follow-up of 16.01 years, 13 960 deaths occurred. HsCRP levels were associated with higher mortality across all stages, but the association progressively attenuated with advancing CKM stages. Adjusted HRs per ln(hsCRP) were 1.11 (95% CI: 1.03-1.20) in Stage 0, 1.14 (1.07-1.21) in Stage 1, 1.08 (1.06-1.10) in Stage 2, 1.05 (1.03-1.07) in Stage 3 and 1.04 (1.00-1.08) in Stage 4 (p for interaction < 0.001). Similarly, dichotomised hsCRP showed declining mortality risks from Stage 0 (HR: 1.51, 1.15-1.98) to Stage 4 (HR: 1.07, 0.97-1.19). Restricted cubic splines confirmed this gradient, with early stages displaying steep risk curves that plateaued in advanced stages. Sensitivity analyses supported robustness.
Conclusions:
The association of hsCRP with mortality diminishes with CKM syndrome progression, suggesting a shift from inflammation-driven risk in early stages to complex multiorgan dysfunction in late stages. These findings advocate for stage-specific risk assessment, with hsCRP retaining utility in early CKM management but requiring integrated approaches in advanced disease.
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