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Weakening TPR-MBER correlation: Marker of success in India's malaria elimination progress
Kapil Prajapat1, Yeluri Sudeepa Libny1, E A Syed Ashish1
1Department of Community & Family Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh, India.
Abstract:
Malaria incidence in Madhya Pradesh has declined in recent years, reflecting strengthened surveillance and control measures. We analysed 2020-2024 Monthly Malaria Information System data to assess trends in transmission and the evolving relationship between the Monthly Blood Examination Rate (MBER) and Test Positivity Rate (TPR). A progressively weakening correlation between MBER and TPR was observed, indicating improved surveillance saturation and reduced underlying transmission. Thus, we show the potential utility of the MBER-TPR correlation as a dynamic indicator for monitoring progress toward malaria elimination.
