Bridging Traditional Modeling and Artificial Intelligence in Measles Epidemiology: Methods, Applications, and Future...

Measles remains one of the most contagious infectious diseases globally and continues to pose substantial public health risks despite decades of effective vaccination. This narrative review examines both classical and contemporary computational approaches used for measles monitoring, prediction, and control, with particular attention given to the emerging role of artificial intelligence (AI). We synthesized findings from 46 studies; 31 focused directly on measles and 15 on methodologically relevant studies from related infectious diseases (COVID-19, influenza, malaria), selected through searches of PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, IEEE Xplore, and preprint servers, conducted between June and December 2025. Traditional compartmental models (SIR, SEIR, MSEIR), statistical tools (ARIMA, SARIMA), and seroepidemiological analysis provide transparent, well-characterized frameworks for estimating transmission dynamics and simulating intervention scenarios. Spatial modeling, network analysis, and Monte Carlo simulations have added geographic granularity to outbreak characterization. More recently, AI and machine learning (ML) methods, including supervised algorithms (Random Forest, XGBoost, SVM), deep learning architectures (CNN, LSTM), and hybrid mechanistic ML models, have shown improved predictive performance by integrating multiple data sources: epidemiological records, demographic profiles, mobility patterns, and behavioral indicators. AI-based approaches appear most valuable for high-dimensional risk prediction and image-based diagnostic tasks, while classical models retain clear advantages for policy-oriented scenario analysis. However, no AI-based or hybrid model identified in this review has been adopted into routine national measles surveillance or used for vaccination policy decisions at scale. Important challenges remain: data quality varies across settings, model generalizability cannot be assumed, and computational infrastructure disparities limit deployment in high-burden regions. Explainable AI, federated learning, workforce training for model interpretation, and integration of vaccination registries with mobility and genomic surveillance data represent concrete future directions for strengthening computational support for measles elimination.