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Predictors of thyroid cancer in paediatric patients with thyroid nodules: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Savan Shah1, Ben Walters2, Saba Prakash Balasubramanian3
1ENT Department, Barking Havering Redbridge NHS Trust, London, RM7 0AG, UK. savan.shah2@nhs.net.
Insights
Predictors for pediatric thyroid cancer include radiation exposure, palpable lymphadenopathy, intranodal calcifications, increased vascularity, and elevated thyroid-stimulating hormone. Identifying these factors improves preoperative diagnosis for children with thyroid nodules.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Endocrinology
- Oncology
- Radiology
Background:
- Thyroid nodules in children are rare but carry a higher risk of malignancy than in adults.
- Risk factors and predictors for thyroid cancer in pediatric patients are not well-established.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically review and evaluate risk factors and predictors of malignancy in pediatric thyroid nodules.
- To enhance the understanding of factors associated with thyroid cancer in children.
Main Methods:
- A systematic review of PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases was conducted.
- Meta-analysis using a random-effects model was performed on data from 16 studies.
- Quality assessment of included studies was done using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale.
Main Results:
- The review included 2,634 patients (794 malignant, 1,840 benign); papillary thyroid cancer was the most common malignancy (84.5%).
- Significant predictors of thyroid cancer included previous radiation exposure (OR 1.96), palpable lymphadenopathy (OR 7.73), intranodal calcifications (OR 10.33), increased vascularity (OR 3.21), and elevated thyroid-stimulating hormone (mean difference +0.92 mIU/L).
Conclusions:
- Identifying these key predictors is crucial for improving the preoperative diagnosis of thyroid cancer in children.
- This knowledge can inform the development of diagnostic models for pediatric thyroid nodules.
Purpose:
Thyroid nodules are rare in children but have a higher malignancy rate compared to adults. Risk factors and predictors of thyroid cancer in children with thyroid nodules are not well-characterised. This systematic review aims to evaluate risk factors and predictors of malignancy in paediatric thyroid nodules.
Methods:
PubMed, Embase and Cochrane databases were searched up to 6th April 2026. A quality assessment of the included articles was performed, along with a meta-analysis using the random-effects model.
Results:
Sixteen studies met the inclusion criteria, comprising 2,634 patients (794 malignant and 1,840 benign cases). Papillary thyroid cancer represented the majority of cancers (84.5%). Variables that were significantly associated with thyroid cancer in the meta-analysis were as follows: previous radiation exposure, odds ratio (OR) 1.96 [95% CI 1.15, 3.34]; palpable lymphadenopathy, OR 7.73 [95% CI 3.03, 19.75]; intranodal calcifications, OR 10.33 [95% CI 3.20, 33.37]; increased vascularity, OR 3.21 [95% CI 1.95, 5.28]; and elevated thyroid stimulating hormone levels, mean difference + 0.92 mIU/L [95% CI 0.50, 1.35]. Quality assessment using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, with a majority of studies scoring ≥ 7 stars.
Conclusion:
The identification of predictors of thyroid cancer in children with thyroid nodules will inform the development and evaluation of models with a view to improving preoperative diagnosis.
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