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Balancing productivity and reliability in fire-prone boreal forests.
Yuval R Zelnik1, Samuli Launiainen2, Giulia Vico1
1Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), Uppsala, 75007, Sweden.
Journal of Environmental Management
|May 26, 2026
Summary
Balancing forest wood production and reliability is challenging due to increasing fire risks. Management choices impact this trade-off, especially in boreal forests facing frequent disturbances.
Area of Science:
- Forestry and Ecosystem Management
- Boreal Forest Ecology
- Disturbance Ecology
Background:
- Forests provide vital ecosystem services, including wood production, carbon sequestration, and biodiversity conservation.
- Increasing frequency of disturbances like forest fires necessitates strategies for reliable wood production alongside other ecosystem services.
- Boreal forests are particularly susceptible to fire, impacting their productivity and long-term stability.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the trade-offs between wood production productivity and reliability in boreal forests under varying fire disturbance probabilities.
- To analyze how forest management decisions interact with fire risk to influence harvest stability and reliability.
- To assess the impact of mortality, fire frequency, tree species, and site fertility on forest productivity and reliability.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a landscape model integrating tree growth, self-thinning, fire-caused mortality, and forest management.
- Operationalized reliability through temporal stability of annual harvest and the frequency/magnitude of harvests falling below acceptable levels.
- Tested the influence of four key factors (mortality, fire frequency, tree species, site fertility) on productivity and reliability metrics.
Main Results:
- A common trade-off exists between high productivity and high reliability in wood harvesting.
- This trade-off intensifies with increased fire frequency, the planting of spruce, and higher site fertility.
- Landscape-scale management prioritizing high productivity in some stands negatively impacts neighboring stands' productivity and overall landscape reliability.
Conclusions:
- Forest management strategies must carefully consider the inherent trade-offs between maximizing wood production and ensuring its reliability, especially in fire-prone boreal regions.
- Higher fire frequency, specific tree species (spruce), and fertile sites exacerbate the productivity-reliability dilemma.
- Integrated landscape management is crucial to mitigate negative impacts on overall wood production reliability when aiming for high productivity in specific areas.
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