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Twelve-Month Metastatic State as a Landmark-Based Prognostic Stratifier in Metastatic Sarcoma.
Theodoros Loupasis1, Janet Ruthenberg2, Bettina Vogel3
1Department of Orthopaedics and Trauma, LUKS Sarcoma-IPU, University Teaching Hospital LUKS, Spitalstrasse, 6000 Lucerne, Switzerland.
Cancers
|May 27, 2026
Summary
The 12-month metastatic state in sarcoma patients offers better prognostic insight than institutional data. This landmark analysis reveals disease burden at 12 months significantly predicts post-metastasis survival.
Area of Science:
- Medical Oncology
- Sarcoma Research
- Clinical Prognostics
Background:
- Prognostic assessment in metastatic sarcoma is challenging.
- Baseline variables may not fully capture outcomes post-metastasis.
- Investigating the 12-month landmark for prognostic stratification.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the 12-month landmark for prognostic stratification of post-metastasis survival in sarcoma.
- To compare the prognostic value of the 12-month disease state versus institutional data.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective observational study using real-world clinical data from two sarcoma centers.
- Analysis of overall survival (OS) and post-metastasis survival (PMS).
- Landmark analysis at 12 months, classifying patients as oligometastatic or polymetastatic; Cox regression models used.
Main Results:
- 236 patients included; PMS showed numerical separation between institutions.
- Metastatic state at 12 months clearly stratified PMS; oligometastatic disease had a better outcome.
- Polymetastatic state at 12 months was the strongest independent predictor of inferior PMS (HR 3.09). High grade also significant (HR 5.16).
Conclusions:
- The 12-month metastatic state provides stronger prognostic stratification for post-metastasis survival in sarcoma than institutional comparison.
- A longitudinal, state-based prognostic framework is supported.
- Disease state at the 12-month landmark is more informative than crude center attribution for survival stratification.