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Tracking U.S. Liquefied Natural Gas Supply Chain Greenhouse Gas Emission Intensity through Direct Measurements
Yuanrui Zhu1,2,3, Gregory B Ross4, Jenna Brown1,5
1Energy Emissions Modeling and Data Lab (EEMDL), The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas 78712, United States.
Environmental Science & Technology
|June 9, 2026
Summary
Direct measurements reveal liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply chain greenhouse gas (GHG) emission intensities are 19-39% higher than previously estimated. Downstream processes significantly contribute to total GHG emissions.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Chemical Engineering
- Energy Policy
Background:
- Regulatory and voluntary initiatives increasingly focus on estimating greenhouse gas (GHG) emission intensity for liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply chains.
- Activity-based national inventories often underestimate GHG emission intensities, highlighting the need for direct measurement data.
Purpose of the Study:
- To integrate measurement data into a life cycle assessment (LCA) framework for evaluating GHG emissions in LNG supply chains.
- To quantify the GHG emission intensity of LNG supply chains using a three-year measurement campaign.
Main Methods:
- Synthesized measurement data from 54 sites across production, midstream, and liquefaction stages.
- Applied a life cycle assessment (LCA) framework to integrate measurement data.
- Compared measurement-informed GHG emission intensities with activity-based inventory assessments.
Main Results:
- Measurement-informed GHG emission intensity ranged from 13.8 to 17.2 g CO2 equiv/MJ of LNG produced.
- This range is approximately 19-39% higher than estimates from activity-based inventory assessments.
- Stages downstream of gas production accounted for up to 73% of the production-to-liquefaction GHG emission intensity.
Conclusions:
- Relying solely on production-only emission intensities likely underestimates the total GHG impact of LNG.
- Downstream stages play a critical role in the overall GHG emission intensity of LNG supply chains.
- Supply chain-specific GHG intensity assessments, tied to individual transactions, are more accurate than basin-level estimates.
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