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Estimation of high myopia-associated optic neuropathies: the Two-Continent Eye Study
Jost B Jonas1,2,3,4,5,6,7, Rahul A Jonas8,9, Mukharram M Bikbov10
1Institute Francais de Myopie, Rothschild Foundation Hospital, Paris, France.
The British Journal of Ophthalmology
|June 23, 2026
Summary
This study developed equations to estimate the risk of optic nerve damage from high myopia. These models predict the probability of glaucomatous/glaucoma-like optic neuropathy (GLON) and non-glaucomatous optic neuropathy (NGON) based on key ocular factors.
Area of Science:
- Ophthalmology
- Optometry
- Public Health
Background:
- High myopia is a growing global health concern.
- Optic nerve damage, including glaucomatous/glaucoma-like optic neuropathy (GLON) and non-glaucomatous optic neuropathy (NGON), is a significant complication.
- Accurate estimation of risk is crucial for early detection and management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate predictive equations for the probability of GLON and NGON in individuals with high myopia.
- To identify key risk factors contributing to optic neuropathy in myopic populations.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from five large population-based eye studies across diverse ethnicities and age groups.
- Developed predictive models using a development subgroup and validated them in a separate validation subgroup.
- Included variables such as axial length, age, intraocular pressure (IOP), Indian ethnicity, and presence of ocular comorbidities.
Main Results:
- Developed prevalence equations for GLON and NGON with high predictive accuracy (Area Under the Curve: 0.881 for GLON, 0.964 for NGON).
- Demonstrated a significant increase in GLON and NGON probability with increasing axial length and age.
- Highlighted the influence of ethnicity and ocular comorbidities on the estimated risk.
Conclusions:
- The derived equations provide a valuable tool for estimating the probability of optic nerve damage in individuals with high myopia.
- These models can aid clinicians in risk stratification and personalized eye care strategies.
- Further research can refine these predictions for improved patient outcomes.

