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Clinically Relevant Discordance Between SCORE2 and REGICOR in Spanish Workers: Implications for Cardiovascular Risk
Manuel Sarmiento Cruz1, Pedro Juan Tárraga López2, Mónica Silu Piña Dabreu3
1Primary Care, Balearic Islands Health Service, 07010 Palma, Spain.
The SCORE2 model identifies significantly more Spanish workers as high cardiovascular risk than the REGICOR model, indicating potential under-treatment for cardiovascular disease prevention. Further validation is needed to determine the superior predictive model.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Public Health
- Occupational Medicine
Background:
- Cardiovascular risk prediction models are crucial for primary prevention.
- Significant variability exists between contemporary and traditional risk equations.
- SCORE2 and REGICOR are major cardiovascular risk assessment tools in Spain with methodological differences.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the agreement between SCORE2 and REGICOR for cardiovascular risk stratification in Spanish workers.
- To quantify cardiovascular risk reclassification with SCORE2 implementation.
Main Methods:
- A multicenter cross-sectional study of 216,310 Spanish workers (aged 40-64) from 2019-2024.
- Cardiovascular risk estimated using SCORE2, REGICOR, ERICE, DORICA, Globorisk, and Framingham equations.
- Agreement assessed using Cohen's kappa and Pearson correlation coefficients.
Main Results:
- SCORE2 identified 7.22% as high risk, compared to 2.04% by REGICOR.
- Minimal agreement between SCORE2 and REGICOR (kappa = 0.094).
- SCORE2 showed higher agreement with Framingham and Globorisk, but low correlation with REGICOR (r = 0.251).
Conclusions:
- Substantial discordance exists between SCORE2 and REGICOR in identifying high cardiovascular risk in Spanish workers.
- Reliance on REGICOR may lead to under-identification of individuals needing primary cardiovascular prevention.
- Prospective outcome-based validation studies are necessary to determine the superior predictive model.
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