A Metagenomic Biosurveillance Network for Emerging Infectious Diseases: A Simulation-Based Model

Isabel Meusel1, David Manheim1, Oscar Delaney1

  • 1Isabel Meusel, MD, was a Research Fellow, Existential Risk Alliance, Cambridge, United Kingdom; and is now a PhD Researcher, Department of Primary and Long-Term Care, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands. David Manheim, PhD, is Director of Policy and Research, Association for Long Term Existence and Resilience (ALTER), Rehovot, Israel; and a Visiting Lecturer, Technion - Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel. Oscar Delaney is a Research Manager, Existential Risk Alliance, Cambridge, United Kingdom. Daniel Greene, PhD, was a Senior Analyst at Gryphon Scientific, Takoma Park, MD; and is now a Technical Staff member at Mirror Biology Dialogues Fund, New York, NY. Rona Tobolsky is a Researcher, ALTER, Rehovot, Israel; and a Graduate Student, School of Public Health, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel. Hanna Palya was a Research Fellow, Existential Risk Alliance, Cambridge, United Kingdom; and is now a PhD Researcher, Institute for Global Pandemic Planning, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom. Naham Shapiro, MPH, is a Public Health Lead, ALTER, Rehovot, Israel; and a Research Assistant, School of Public Health, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel. Siddhanth Sharma, MD, MPH, was a Public Health Registrar, Metropolitan Communicable Disease Control Perth, Perth, Australia; and is now a Public Health Specialist, Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia.

Health Security
|June 29, 2026
PubMed
Summary

Early detection of novel respiratory pathogens in Israel is possible with a metagenomic next-generation sequencing (mNGS) system. This surveillance approach, utilizing an SEIR model, could identify outbreaks within 68 days, aiding containment efforts.

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