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An LLM-agent-based framework for calculating nodal carbon intensity in regional power systems
Junpeng Zhao1, Rouyi Chen2, Hui Jiang2
1China Southern Power Grid Artificial Intelligence Technology Co., Ltd., Guangzhou, China. junpeng_zh@163.com.
Scientific Reports
|June 29, 2026
Summary
This study introduces a large language model (LLM)-agent framework for accurate nodal carbon accounting in power grids. It enhances operational usability and auditability for carbon-aware electricity grid management.
Area of Science:
- Computational Power Systems
- Artificial Intelligence in Energy
- Environmental Engineering
Background:
- Regional carbon-aware operation requires reliable nodal carbon intensity (NCI) signals.
- Existing carbon-flow tracing and marginal-emission analysis methods are difficult to operationalize due to manual intervention in data integration, model configuration, and auditing.
- Challenges include heterogeneous operational inputs, topology changes, and network congestion impacting NCI signal validity.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a novel large language model (LLM)-agent-in-the-loop framework for operationalizing nodal carbon accounting.
- To enhance the auditability and benchmark-level operational usability of carbon accounting in power grids.
- To integrate LLM-based orchestration with deterministic modules for dispatch optimization, physical verification, and carbon attribution.
Main Methods:
- A framework combining a direct-current optimal power flow (DC-OPF)-based modeling layer.
- A four-layer verifier with Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT)-inspired diagnostics for physical verification.
- A unified engine to compute average carbon intensity (ACI) and marginal carbon intensity (MCI) anchored to a verified operating point and network model.
Main Results:
- Achieved 1.00 task-pass rates on PJM 5-bus benchmark validation across structured, semi-structured, and anomalous inputs.
- The verifier reduced unsafe acceptance from 0.429 to 0.048 and improved resolved recall from 0.571 to 0.952 on injected errors.
- Under congestion, bounded MCI diagnostic standard deviation reached 283.9 kg/MWh; high-renewable scenarios lowered mean ACI by 24% (PJM 5-bus) and 30% (IEEE 14-bus).
Conclusions:
- LLM-based orchestration significantly improves the auditability and operational usability of nodal carbon accounting.
- The proposed framework effectively integrates AI orchestration with physics-based computation for reliable carbon analysis.
- Demonstrated the framework's robustness and accuracy in handling complex power system operational scenarios and carbon attribution.
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