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A digital twin approach for optimizing okara-based Greek-style yogurt using hybrid Gompertz-LSTM modeling and data
1Dairy and Beverage Engineering Program, Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Mahidol University, Salaya, Nakhon Pathom, Thailand.
Abstract:
Plant-based yogurts frequently exhibit inadequate structural integrity and pronounced syneresis. This study formulated a novel okara and coconut milk Greek-style plant-based yogurt and developed a physics-augmented digital twin for robust process control. Rheological and microstructural analyses, yielding a fractal dimension (D f = 1.686), demonstrated that the okara-coconut matrix aggregates via diffusion-limited cluster aggregation (DLCA), forming a compact, space-filling network. Multi-objective Pareto optimization identified an optimal formulation (14% okara, 18% coconut milk) that minimized syneresis (1.86%) while maximizing storage modulus (G' = 886 Pa) and overall sensory acceptability (8.46/9.0). To monitor fermentation and gelation, a hybrid framework fusing a mechanistic Gompertz prior with a Long Short-Term Memory-Support Vector Regression (LSTM-SVR) residual corrector was developed. This digital twin achieved high predictive accuracy (R 2 = 0.9928), outperforming standalone machine learning approaches. Furthermore, integrating an Ensemble Smoother with Multiple Data Assimilation (ES-MDA) enabled dynamic parameter self-calibration for Avrami gelation kinetics, successfully reducing prediction uncertainty for G' and syneresis by 58% and 74%, respectively. Ultimately, this hybrid physics-AI approach provides highly interpretable, risk-aware process control, establishing a scalable Industry 4.0 paradigm for managing raw material variability in plant-based food manufacturing.
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